I hate the practice of calling the time-out right after we score late in close games (the "Mooney-Out"). Looks like I am not alone. But I did want to objectively test the theory on whether it is actually harmful or helpful.
Assumptions/Methodology:
- Applies only to timeouts: (1) taken after a made basket by Richmond; (2) under 6 minutes to go in the game but before the "under 4" timeout; and (3) in games that are "close" (i.e., within 8 points with 6 mins to go.
- I looked at this year only for the test sample, although this practice obviously goes back a ways just anecdotally
We have had 9 opportunities this season for a Mooney-Out: Charleston, Wichita, Syracuse, W&M, Mason, GW, Duquesne, Davidson, UMass.
The Mooney-Out was called on only 3 of those occasions: Charleston, W&M, and UMass. Here are the details:
Opponent | Date | Time of TO | Score (UR – Opp) | Opponent score next possession? (Y/N) | Final Score | Spread since TO (to end of regulation) |
Charleston | 11/14 | 4:58 | 70-72 | Y | 90-92 (OT) | 11-9 |
W&M | 12/3 | 5:36 | 52-48 | Y | 57-58 | 5-10 |
UMass | 1/25 | 4:29 | 71-68 | Y | 76-85 | 5-17 |
Here are the scenarios for the other games: Wichita (losing by 2 at 6 mins to go -- lost), Syracuse (winning by 2 with 6 mins to go -- lost), Mason (losing by 5 with 6 mins to go -- lost), GW (winning by 7 with 6 mins to go -- won), Duquesne (winning by 5 with 6 mins to go -- won), Davidson (winning by 7 with 6 mins to go -- won).
My takeaways:
- It would be inaccurate to suggest that Mooney ALWAYS calls the Mooney-Out. In fact, it's only 33% of the time this year.
- It is not effective in preventing the other team from scoring on the next possession -- at all.
- It hasn't resulted in good end-game performance in 2 of the 3 games in which the Mooney-Out was called.
Obviously, this can be picked apart as unscientific, or non-correlative, etc., but for me at least it confirmed what my eyes were subjectively telling me: the Mooney-Out is stupid and I still hate it.