Don't want to get into the whole discussion, but will point out that players will not be able to just transfer anytime they want anymore. The NCAA issued guidance in March that stated that a player will have ONE free transfer. After that they will have to sit a year. It will be like the old days on the second or subsequent transfer. There is the possibility of the NCAA issuing a waver, but they claim they are going to tighten up on those. I think this is the first step of the NCAA in trying to take back a bit of control.
So, some of those guys that have jump from school to school the last couple years can't do it anymore. With three years of eligibility left, Nelson would have to sit a year if he leaves VCU, and that would cost him a year of eligibility. Most players won't give up that year, unless they are in a really bad position.
Will he play much? Who knows. But if what we are hearing is coming, actually does come (it is not all out yet), VCU will be just fine.