This is the way that I see it, time will tell. Fasten your seatbelts.
Rough:
1) 23-24 will likely be a transitional year (as admins call it). The overall poor portal performance by the staff makes it almost a lock. .500-ish, potential to be a tad better
2) Mooney is still the coach. His middling skills have not improved. Slow to adapt, poor bench coaching, and confusion regarding player combinations will promote the usual chaos.
3) Frontcourt play may be suspect, and could be an albatross. This is not to say that there isn't potential, because I believe that there is. In my opinion, this is a real coin-toss situation. How the big men perform collectively will determine the altitude of the season in my view. Injuries COULD be an absolute disaster
4) Burton gone. I don't see it as the bullet that most on this forum do. Yes, he is a good player, BUT, I don't think that he was so great that he isn't replaceable. A challenge to replicate his production, yes. Will other's step up, we shall see??
Good:
1) Guard play is MUCH improved! This will make the overall team performance better, likely much better. King for Nelson is a major upgrade. Add Bailey, Hunt, and Trevor Smith, guard play potential is a positive in my opinion
2) Quinn, Bailey, Bigelow, and Roche are all another year more experienced. Hope springs eternal that this will translate into better overall play
3) Noyes, Roche, Bigelow, & Tanner COULD make Burton's loss a minor event. How much impact they have, and will they be mismanaged, are legitimate questions
4) A-10 is weak. While this is a negative in the big picture, it does provide an opportunity for a transitional team to win
Overall, I think that the 23-24 team will be somewhat better than last year. How much, is a legitimate discussion. I think that this team has the potential to surpass expectations.