ADVERTISEMENT

2019 Opponent Thread

Opponent Tracker 2/13/2020:
Hampton vs Campbell
Charleston vs Hofstra
Presbyterian vs Radford
Old Dominion vs Rice
Louisiana vs South Alabama
Cal Poly vs CSU Northridge
 
Oh and Bama beat LSU...

Think we need to root against bama going fwd tho. Another team off bubble has a greater effect than the very marginal bump from them winning. They have good numbers but I heard Jerry Palm - the guy we didn’t pay - say something interesting the other day. He said in the 25+ years he’s been doing this only 1 team that was 3 or less games over .500 get an at large was Georgia & they had insane SOS that won’t be beat.

Now b10 has some teams that could maybe match that. Looking at u Purdue. Still hard to overcome & don’t think bama can beat that stat. They r 3 games over .500 right now. Hopefully Purdumb doesn’t either.

There r some other teams w good numbers like Arkansas that have no business being in right now. They r 4-8 in sec.
 
LSUb is going to fall out of the top 30, if not today then soon. Not that it matters anyway at this point, but there goes VCU's only Q1 win. So sad.
Think we need to root against bama going fwd tho. Another team off bubble has a greater effect than the very marginal bump from them winning. They have good numbers but I heard Jerry Palm - the guy we didn’t pay - say something interesting the other day. He said in the 25+ years he’s been doing this only 1 team that was 3 or less games over .500 get an at large was Georgia & they had insane SOS that won’t be beat.

Now b10 has some teams that could maybe match that. Looking at u Purdue. Still hard to overcome & don’t think bama can beat that stat. They r 3 games over .500 right now. Hopefully Purdumb doesn’t either.

There r some other teams w good numbers like Arkansas that have no business being in right now. They r 4-8 in sec.
I agree. Most of the teams on our schedule can handle a loss without much of an effect on our SOS but bubble teams need to lose.

I’ve only had Team Shadenfraude to hold on to for so long, I could only see the game from that angle, not that it actually moved the neither in that department either.
 
A big game with dual implications for us going on right now. BC leads bubble team NC State 17-8 early. Would be helpful for our SOS and probably push NC State ofd the bubble if BC can win.
 
The fact that Boston College might end up as an upper half team in the ACC is proof enough that the ACC deserves no more than four bids and that the A10 deserves three. We destroyed them and someone else in the A10 did too if I remember correctly. Rhody maybe? They were total garbage.
 
The fact that Boston College might end up as an upper half team in the ACC is proof enough that the ACC deserves no more than four bids and that the A10 deserves three. We destroyed them and someone else in the A10 did too if I remember correctly. Rhody maybe? They were total garbage.

Virginia is looking good for a bid, so that would be 4. After that, only NC St., Notre Dame, and Syracuse have a realistic chances for a bid, with State being in the best shape because they only have 8 losses. So, come on BC, get the W today.
 
  • Like
Reactions: Eight Legger
The fact that Boston College might end up as an upper half team in the ACC is proof enough that the ACC deserves no more than four bids and that the A10 deserves three. We destroyed them and someone else in the A10 did too if I remember correctly. Rhody maybe? They were total garbage.
I've given up trying to figure out why BC is the worst-ranked team in the ACC by such a wide margin. I mean, you're right - they were total garbage, so I understand a bad ranking. Their non-conference schedule was really weak (we were their only Quad 1 game), they have 3 bad losses and have a tendency to get blown out when they lose. But they're 7-8 in the ACC! They can't be that much worse than the rest of the league.
 
Wisco with a huge game vs. Purdue tonight. I'd take Dayton over VCU first but this one isn't too far behind. Purdue is another team with good numbers but another loss and they're a couple games under .500 is league play which is a problem. I'm taking a Purdue/VCU parlay right now.
 
  • Like
Reactions: gospidersgo
I don't think being two games under .500 would be the problem for Purdue. Last year, or maybe 2 years ago, I think five teams got in with 8-10 conference records. The problem for Purdue is they already have 12 losses, and can only afford so many more.
 
I don't think being two games under .500 would be the problem for Purdue. Last year, or maybe 2 years ago, I think five teams got in with 8-10 conference records. The problem for Purdue is they already have 12 losses, and can only afford so many more.

It would be a problem because it puts more pressure on them down the stretch. 2 games under .500 right now could make finishing only 2 games under .500 in league play more difficult. If they finish say 17-15 and 9-11 in B10 that's a problem. Yes you're right the overall record comes into there too. One team in the last 25 or so years has gotten at large being less than 4 games above .500. Georgia. B10 seems to be taking a run at it tho.

A lot of teams in recent years got in with 8-10. It's a terrible trend for the college game imo. Probably half the teams that have made it in history of NCAA with losing conf records have come in last 6-7 years I believe. The moving to longer conf seasons along with very little true road OOC games is marginalizing the mids. Wise up committee but unfortunately they're populated by big conf members.
 
An absolutely massive game tmr with BC vs UVA. A loss at home to BC would certainly hurt their case for the NCAA tournament as they are hovering right around the 11 seed. A BC win improves their net and pushes uva back a good bit
 
Epic collapse by Davidson against St Joe's tonight. Led by more than 20 in the first half and still led by 10 with about 6 minutes to go. St Joe's hit a 3 right before the final buzzer to win by 1.
 
Last edited:
Arkansas lost to Florida. That’s good also.

Conflicted on that. Florida has tough schedule down stretch and loss there would have hurt. Arkansas best ooc win was Tulsa so I didn’t see them that strong. As a result thought decent chance to lose more games tho their conf schedule gets weaker. Rather Ark win it myself. Enough games left for each to not make clear cut, guess was relatively a toss up.
 
St Joe's on the road over Davidson. UMass on the road over SLU. Neither to our benefit. Just hope the third at home team tonight loses too!
 
Just used Lunardi because he’s a quick example. Bracket matrix has Illinois in 106/108 brackets with an average of an 8 seed. They’re not a bubble team

U give me a shot at lunardi I’m going to take it.

Re: Illinois well not now a bubble. Had they lost they’d be much closer to that. Agree w Chop we definitely wanted them to lose. I thought their resume is a bit sketchy (assuming loss to PSU) and had a real chance to fall in next couple weeks. 8 seeds can be right on bubble quickly. Too bad. They were a candidate to fall. Unlike these bracketologists who pick based on season ending today we are allowed to have foresight.
 
U give me a shot at lunardi I’m going to take it.

Re: Illinois well not now a bubble. Had they lost they’d be much closer to that. Agree w Chop we definitely wanted them to lose. I thought their resume is a bit sketchy (assuming loss to PSU) and had a real chance to fall in next couple weeks. 8 seeds can be right on bubble quickly. Too bad. They were a candidate to fall. Unlike these bracketologists who pick based on season ending today we are allowed to have foresight.

Illinois had 5 quad 1 wins and 2 quad 2s before tonight. I don't think losing to a top 20 NET PSU on the road would have moved them from an 8 to the bubble in the committee's eyes. They were a near lock, regardless of tonight's result. Sure, before tonight hope they have a major collapse and lose them all just in case, but I don't see this result affecting us much at all.
 
They had lost 4 straight, including getting blasted by Rutgers, their NET was dropping, and Penn State is their best win of the year per ESPN and CBS. They're safer now than they were yesterday.

Back to our opponents.....
I know George Mason has a game tonight. Who else?
 
  • Like
Reactions: urfan1
Illinois had 5 quad 1 wins and 2 quad 2s before tonight. I don't think losing to a top 20 NET PSU on the road would have moved them from an 8 to the bubble in the committee's eyes. They were a near lock, regardless of tonight's result. Sure, before tonight hope they have a major collapse and lose them all just in case, but I don't see this result affecting us much at all.

I only said closer to bubble which is true. Moot point now but they were not a lock. Their OOC sos is 225. By nature of B10 they are going to get some quad 1 wins. But had been trending down too as mentioned above. Are there many other games we care more about? yes of course but if u were rooting against ILL that's weird.
 
ADVERTISEMENT

Latest posts

ADVERTISEMENT