Yeah, I mean look at other bubble teams:
- #13 UC Davis: Win over an Idaho team that was #19 at the time but finished 2-4 and unranked, wins over bad Cal Poly and Idaho State teams. Respectable losses to top ten teams Weber and EWU. Despite only being 3-2, I think I'd put them ahead of us. But I guess there are some reports that they may have opted out of playoffs? Haven't really looked into that.
- #16 Kennesaw: Had the advantage of a #8 ranking to start the season, and beat up on crappy teams until getting smacked around in their final game by Monmouth. Is Monmouth any good? Who knows..possibly, but hard to tell from only three games.
- #14 Missouri State: Fascinating one here...5–1 in the MVFC with three wins over ranked teams and their only loss to NDSU. But they also played three games in the fall and went 0-3 in those games. Oklahoma loss obviously doesn't count against them, but the other two losses were to a middling Central Arkansas team that only played a fall schedule. But with spring wins over SD, UNI, and SIU, I think you have to put Missouri State in.
- #18 Southern Illinois: Speaking of SIU, they're only 5-3, but have four wins over teams that were ranked at game time, including top 5 NDSU and UNI. Losses to ND and SDSU shouldn't hurt too bad, and their other one was to Missouri State. But can the MVFC get 5 in?
Murray State? ETSU? I have no idea. What a mess.