Also because if SLU had played that game, they likely would have had to go on another long pause, effectively ending their season.
Will we make the tournament?
- Thread starter Eight Legger
- Start date
Different argument. My point is that if we were playing SLU in the NCAA tournament and the exact same situation occurred, the NCAA would say game on.
8legs1dream
Graduate Assistant
Based on last night's performance, we're a lot closer to losing out than winning out. I wouldn't get my hopes up.
I'm not. We probably need to win the tournament at this point, but it's not quite over yet.
Agreed and I'll be pulling for them with all my might. Where did this season go?
Yep we could win out w right games & lose in champ game for instance and get in. Depressing to be in that kind of longshot mode tho with this team. Realistically its all about A10 tourney which is a big problem if we r playing 4 games.
Regardless it's at least more urgency than we get from the program. Hard to forget the "We are still 6-2" nothing to see here narrative after the Hofstra loss.
A fair observation -- I accept as one of the "take it down a notch" folks at the time.
No unless they win the A10 tourney. I had 5 ACC teams making it including the tourney champ. Now though 8 teams higher than UR in NET rankings. Less at-larges for the A10 and all mids. Duke was 61 and UR 60 but today they switched spots. I think we all know who the committee will select if Duke and UR are the last teams in discussion to get selected.
Very rare that any team wins 4 games in 4 days. Our saving grace is if we can win the first 3, at least we get a rest and have a remote chance.
Yep. This season has been such a disappointment. At least we are competing, according to CM.
Joey Brackets has us in FIRST FOUR OUT live on ESPN just now. Incredible, but we are still on the bubble (which continues to weaken). Teams continue to lose.
I still think at large is a huge long shot (and I wouldn’t bet on us to go on a roll to end the season with how we’re playing) but we are still there. It is a fact that if we win the next 3 games we will be in a similar position to where we were last year. And the eye test should matter even more this year with respect to valuing teams that are hot to end the season.
Lot of ifs and wishful thinking, but there is a path...
I still think at large is a huge long shot (and I wouldn’t bet on us to go on a roll to end the season with how we’re playing) but we are still there. It is a fact that if we win the next 3 games we will be in a similar position to where we were last year. And the eye test should matter even more this year with respect to valuing teams that are hot to end the season.
Lot of ifs and wishful thinking, but there is a path...
Lunardi bubble watch...Spiders are fourth one out. He currently has Davidson holding the A-10 auto bid because they have the tiebreaker at 1-0 against the .750 group with VCU and UMass. They're not an at-large quality team right now and while it's possible, they're unlikely to win the auto, so they're likely just taking up a spot in the field for now. Bona, UR, and SLU are all bubblicious holding the third/fourth/fifth out spots.
Nice to see Duke behind us. Of course everyone knows that they will win two more games and end up as a 6 seed, magically.
Win at SLU and we knock them out of the picture and might put ourselves in. It's the game of the year for us.
That is an brilliant assessment. The next 2 games are vital for our team.
The SLU game is a knock out game for one of us. Whoever loses has zero chance at an large. I think we are still on the wrong side of the bubble even with a win, but a win keeps us in it for sure.
yep correct 97. Knocks us out but doesn’t put us in. We have path to at large it is slim imo & means winning out, beating a good team like bona or vcu in semis & then losing to the other one in finals. While also hoping there r not bid stealers.
our chances to win the champ game in A10 would be higher than our at large chances at that point too but it does give us some backdoor chances.
why do u guys think Mooney is talking about a game post A10 tourney now? Bc he knows we r likely to be bubble burst at that point. If u really think u r in NCAA there is ZERO chance to even consider such a game.
Huge game. We lock up a double bye with a win and add another Q1 win. We'd also go to 6-2 on the road. Only 10 teams ahead of us in NET have road records that good or better at this point.
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Also glad Mooney is looking at a game after the first rounds of the A-10 tourney. Not sure who of quality can play us that week but we should kick the tires around and see.
Agreed. That would be the scenario, where we might not want to do it. But I think we need to look at where we sit on the bubble after those first rounds A-10 tournament games and who we are playing in the final.
But yeah, if we have to win just 1 game to get the auto bid, I would say focus on winning that game.
So a win at SLU, home SJU, neutral UMass, at VCU would be helpful?
While waiting for the Dayton trip...
So scheduling a DIII today for March 6 would be a bad idea?
I disagree with the sentiment that IF we win at SLU, our path to at large is slim. I think IF that happens, our path is quite realistic. I do not mean to say that IF we win, we are in, but I do mean to say that IF we win that game, plus SJU, but lose in the A10 semis, I think we would still have a realistic shot.
Therefore, I do agree that Friday's game is HUGE.
Therefore, I do agree that Friday's game is HUGE.
That's not even a consideration I don't think. I took it as, if we are not playing in finals in Dayton, then per Mooney you look at it. Very unlikely it would make sense for two teams and also have the timing align anyway.
It's a big game certainly. That is what the board is for sometimes...disagreement. I think your take is wildly optimist myself but perhaps we'll see. Heck I'm not certain losing in finals would even get us in (& in fact think we'd be 1 of first out), although we don't yet know how other games and leagues will turn out which will be a factor too. I really see no way with loss in semis. SLU moves the needle a bit but we need another good win, which is what we'd get with semifinal win.
And for the record, last year I was quite optimistic on our metrics, a win in quarters vs. davidson is all we needed imo tho that would have been a fairly tough game.
Xavier bubble team down 10 at half to Providence. UNC loses by double digits to Marquette.
