I have looked at our recruiting over the past 5 years. Using 247 sports I looked at how many offers each of our recruits over the past 5 years received, and also how many power conference offers they received. Verbal commits data is in parentheses.
Next I tried to determine how many of our recruits are good enough to start on an NCAA caliber team. I came up with the following list:
If we look at our recruits where we were the only offer we have a success rate of 2/10 or 20% (which becomes 25% if we consider transfers). If you look at the players who received more than 1 offer we have a success rate of 5/6, or 83% (which becomes 71% if you consider transfers and 57% if you don't count Ododa). If the past 5 years is representative of what we can expect from future recruits there is a 20%-25% chance that Cayo will end up being an NCAA caliber player under Mooney while Gilyard, Verbinski and Schneider have 57% to 83% chance of turning out to be NCAA caliber players and Ford somewhere in between. Conservatively, we can expect 2 of the incoming class to turn into NCAA caliber players based on the number of offers they received and the past performance of recruits under Mooney.
Using the verbal commits data our success with 1-offer recruits is 22% and our success with multi-offer recruits is 55%, including transfers.
Code:
Recruit Offers Power Offers
---------- Incoming ----------
Gilyard 7 (14) 0 (0)
Verbinski 3 (1) 0 (0)
Schneider 4 (5) 1 (1)
Cayo 1 (4) 0 (0)
Ford 2 (3) 0 (0)
Stansbury 1 (1) 0 (0)
------------ 2017 ------------
Buckingham 13 (12) 3 (4)
Sherod 9 (21) 1 (2)
Golden 5 (19) 0 (0)
------------ 2016 ------------
Johnson 1 (1) 0 (0)
Pitokache 1 (1) 0 (0)
------------ 2015 ------------
Fore 1 (2) 0 (0)
Smithen 1 (1) 0 (0)
Friendshuh 1 (15) 0 (0)
Deikvoss 1 (1) 0 (0)
------------ 2014 ------------
Shawn’Dre 1 (1) 0 (0)
Josh Jones 1 (6) 0 (0)
Tim Singleton 1 (7) 0 (0)
------------ 2013 ------------
Allen 3 (3) 1 (1)
Taylor 1 (1) 0 (0)
------------ 2012 ------------
Ododa 5 (5) 3 (3)
Piotrowski 7 (8) 4 (5)
Davis 1 (1) 0 (0)
Anthony 4 (4) 0 (0)
------------ Transfers ------------
Wood 11 (11) 6 (6)
Cline 1 (1) 0 (0)
Abakah 1 (1) 0 (0)Next I tried to determine how many of our recruits are good enough to start on an NCAA caliber team. I came up with the following list:
Code:
Buckingham *
Sherod *
Fore
Shawn'Dre Jones
Ododa <-- most may disagree here, but his defense was a big part of why were were in the first 4 out in 2015. I believe the incredible drop in our defensive performance from 2015 to 2016 (52nd to 192nd) is largely due to the loss of Ododa
Anthony
Terry Allen
Cline
* projecting future performance based on freshmen year so far. Golden does not have enough playing time to determine.If we look at our recruits where we were the only offer we have a success rate of 2/10 or 20% (which becomes 25% if we consider transfers). If you look at the players who received more than 1 offer we have a success rate of 5/6, or 83% (which becomes 71% if you consider transfers and 57% if you don't count Ododa). If the past 5 years is representative of what we can expect from future recruits there is a 20%-25% chance that Cayo will end up being an NCAA caliber player under Mooney while Gilyard, Verbinski and Schneider have 57% to 83% chance of turning out to be NCAA caliber players and Ford somewhere in between. Conservatively, we can expect 2 of the incoming class to turn into NCAA caliber players based on the number of offers they received and the past performance of recruits under Mooney.
Using the verbal commits data our success with 1-offer recruits is 22% and our success with multi-offer recruits is 55%, including transfers.
Last edited:
