OOC Predictions

[SpiderTrap]

With the season fast approaching - wanted to get some views on what people think will happen record wise from an OOC perspective. Here are the games below and my predictions. I got us going right around .500 at 7-6. I could see that being 8-5 or down to 6-7. Anything above 8 win would be surprising, and anything below 6 wins would be very disappointing.

VMI - W
SIena - W
@ Boston College - L
Colorado - L
Florida State/UNLV - L
Queens - W
@Wichita St - L
William Mary - W
@Northern Iowa - W
@Florida - L
Charlotte - L
Buffalo - W
Lafayette - W

 

[8legs1dream]

this is always a fun thread. I will need to do some pondering and get back with you

 

[SFspidur]

Not a lot to quibble with there.

 

[brooklyn brownstone]

I’d like to think UR wins one of those games Trap has marked as an L but then again Moon’s track record is also to usually lose one game we see as a very likely win. So 7-6 seems fair until this team shows what it can is/can be.

 

[SpiderTrap]

Maybe we win Colorado or 1 of those games on that trip. But then I worry - we have Charlotte, Buffalo, and Lafayette at the end - do we lose 1 of those in an ugly game. Thats why I picked Charlotte.

 

[97spiderfan]

Maybe we win Colorado or 1 of those games on that trip. But then I worry - we have Charlotte, Buffalo, and Lafayette at the end - do we lose 1 of those in an ugly game. Thats why I picked Charlotte.

Yes, we will lose one of those 3 games at the end of OOC. That is a Mooney special. Are we playing any of them at neutral sight, say in DC, cause that would be a no brainer.

 

[SFspidur]

Charlotte finished top 100 with a CBI trophy and wins over NIT champs North Texas and a Boise squad that danced with an at-large bid.

Not saying we can't beat them, but they're likely to be among the tougher teams on our schedule. (Which also says something about our so-so schedule.)

 

[urmite]

Here is a baseline from others

Opponent	Kenpom	win %		Torvik	win %
VMI	349​	94%		362 (Ⅳ)	98%
Siena	268​	84%		315 (Ⅳ)	89%
Boston College	128​	39%		101 (Ⅱ)	23%
Colorado	28​	17%		27 (I)	14%
Queens	205​	75%		201 (Ⅳ)	72%
Wichita St.	141​	41%		94 (Ⅱ)	22%
William & Mary	313​	89%		279 (Ⅳ)	85%
Northern Iowa	98​	33%		141 (Ⅲ)	30%
Florida	39​	20%		25 (I-A)	13%
Charlotte	176​	69%		154 (Ⅲ)	62%
Buffalo	253​	82%		247 (Ⅳ)	80%
Lafayette	327​	91%		259 (Ⅳ)	82%

They flip UNI & UNCC

 

[SpiderTrap]

Lets just not lose to Lafayette - that would be a bad loss on multiple levels.

 

[8legs1dream]

Yes, we will lose one of those 3 games at the end of OOC. That is a Mooney special. Are we playing any of them at neutral sight, say in DC, cause that would be a no brainer.

the curse of the Christmas game

 

[urmite]

Here's mine.

VMI - L
Siena - L
@ Boston College -W
Colorado - W
Florida State - W
Queens - L
@Wichita St - W
William Mary - L
@Northern Iowa - L
Florida -W
Charlotte - L
Buffalo - L
Lafayette - L

And the world has gone completely crazy...

 

[LongTimeLurkerFirstTimePoster]

Charlotte finished top 100 with a CBI trophy and wins over NIT champs North Texas and a Boise squad that danced with an at-large bid.

Not saying we can't beat them, but they're likely to be among the tougher teams on our schedule. (Which also says something about our so-so schedule.)

Then their coach quit, to go back to being an assistant at UVA, and their two best players left for the portal (power 5 schools)

 

[SFspidur]

Then their coach quit, to go back to being an assistant at UVA, and their two best players left for the portal (power 5 schools)

Yeah, they certainly have some issues, but I still don't see them in the same category as Buffalo and Lafayette. As mentioned here previously, very likely to be the best team on our home OOC schedule, possibly by a significant margin.

 

[8legs1dream]

Then their coach quit, to go back to being an assistant at UVA,

seems like an odd move for climbing the coaching ladder.

 

[spiderman]

As mentioned here previously, very likely to be the best team on our home OOC schedule, possibly by a significant margin.

I sure hope so. hate to think a school (Queens) still 3 years from completing their transition to D1 might be the best team on our home schedule.

 

[SpiderFan]

6-7 OOC

 

[kneepadmckinney]

I’d like to think UR wins one of those games Trap has marked as an L but then again Moon’s track record is also to usually lose one game we see as a very likely win. So 7-6 seems fair until this team shows what it can is/can be.

Agreed.

 

[gcarter52]

Agreed.

Well, since the season hasn’t started yet, can we give this team (notice I said this team) a chance to prove itself. I hope we are pleasantly surprised!

 

[8legs1dream]

Well, since the season hasn’t started yet, can we give this team (notice I said this team) a chance to prove itself. I hope we are pleasantly surprised!

so people aren't allowed to make predictions on the schedule unless it is all sunshine and rainbows?

 

[gospidersgo]

With the season fast approaching - wanted to get some views on what people think will happen record wise from an OOC perspective. Here are the games below and my predictions. I got us going right around .500 at 7-6. I could see that being 8-5 or down to 6-7. Anything above 8 win would be surprising, and anything below 6 wins would be very disappointing.

VMI - W
SIena - W
@ Boston College - L
Colorado - L
Florida State/UNLV - L
Queens - W
@Wichita St - L
William Mary - W
@Northern Iowa - W
@Florida - L
Charlotte - L
Buffalo - W
Lafayette - W

7-6 = 54% 🤔

 

[GKiller]

Not really into the game by game record predictions myself, but I will say at Northern Iowa is probably a loss. They r improved and due against us. Hard to see us winning a 4th straight game over UNI especially on road. Doesn't mean we can't win, we can win any game. I just find that one a little harder than winning at BC or 1 of 2 in Daytona.

 

[Section9.RowD]

Not really into the game by game record predictions myself, but I will say at Northern Iowa is probably a loss. They r improved and due against us. Hard to see us winning a 4th straight game over UNI especially on road. Doesn't mean we can't win, we can win any game. I just find that one a little harder than winning at BC or 1 of 2 in Daytona.

My trip to Waterloo, IA will be one I always remember - good bbq prior to the game and wish Robins had comparable concessions, Gilly’s steal record, a Spider win, questioning what the heck does one do solo in Waterloo on a early Dec Sun evening, and then leaving the hotel at 4am to drive back to Des Moines for early flight in the middle of a crazy windstorm. Doubt I can make it this year but encourage others to consider

Agree with Killer that uni is going to be good - Bowen born is an intense competitor and think they can make the tourney