Most thought - including you, I might add - we needed to win our QF game, at a minimum. The receipts are here.Most thought we were clearly in last year. If you look at Bracket Matrix, 80 out of 97 had us in, including a few that had us as high as a 10. I think we were a lock being a 2nd A-10 team, only behind top 5 Dayton, but it is fine if others think we were not.
Advancing to the semifinals of the A10 is no given.
I believe ESPN's "bubble watch" still had us there, and the writer (not Loon) said he thought we needed to beat Dayton to be safe. Which is of course ridiculous - we'd have the A10 auto-bid if that happened.