Yep but its the reality with a coach as inept as Mooney. Its been the same year after year. Losing 3 or so games we should win in OOC is a pattern every single year. To think we will beat Bonnies VCU Dayton Davidson on the road is a pipe dream and that we wont lose a couple home games we should win, is even more so. Its the moondogs MO.
While NET considers location, I highly doubt they give venues individual home court advantages.
Well, the good news is that we are beating the teams we are supposed to... The neutral court losses have been brutal. It is nice to see the team finally defending the "home turf". We need to continue to fiill the Robins Center and establish a home team advantage atmosphere.
Sorry to be the bearer of bad news, but it actually means there's only a ~63% chance of making it at least once in 1,000 years if the odds are 1:1,000.
The realists know it is down to the win the A10 tournament option. Sure there is “a chance” that the Spiders get an at-large, but it is less probable than winning the A10 tournament.
Team/AQ %/ AL %
I feel like the daily fretting can probably wait until about February 14. We should maybe be on weekly or bi-weekly fretting. it's just too volatile a metric at the moment.
Absolutely we can, but I am thinking 14-4 with the right conference wins and a top 2 finish would be enough. 9-4 OOC and 14-4 IC with 2 A-10 tourney wins would give us 25 wins, but who knows? If some of our wins end up a little better quad wise, maybe 23 or 24 wins is enough, but, a top 2 finish IC is key, and I think winning the regular season title would go a long way toward a bid as well.
This is not the Mooney approach. Always tomorrow, get better throughout the season is our mantra. The sense of urgency or for the now with this program has been gone for years. Just look at his comments coming out of the Bahamas, he thought it was a good experience. WTH, this guy just doesn't get it. Never will.
His % seems silly to me. Dayton beat Kansas in OOC and he gives them 0% chance of an at large?? Thats nuts!! If they win out in OOC it wouldnt surprise me if they get ranked. The NET is a barometer only. If they play great from here on out the committee will look at the fact that bad losses occurred in first weeks of the season.
Of course if Dayton wins enough of the remaining games they will get an at large bid, and I guarantee you Torvik's algorithms agrees with that premise. It also thinks that there is a ~0% chance Dayton will actually win enough of its remaining games to get an at large bid.
If the entire selection to the dance is based off of NET rankings why have a committee at all. Wakes Duncan/childress team lost to chaminade in the Maui classic and ended up a number 1 seed. I guess that could never happen again with the NET.
The entire selection isn't off the NET. These metrics are used because the committee members don't have perfect knowledge of all 358 D1 teams, and need some sort of trusted reasonable numbers to compare teams, wins, resumes etc. The committee members have never seen the majority of D1 teams play in any given season, and have seen many of the teams they are considering for the tournament play once, if at all. The metrics are tools the committee uses, but at the end of the day people are making all the decisions on who is selected and where they are seeded.
Ok How many teams have made it as an at large with a 50+ NET ranking. Not many I would assume. NET is a very flawed system… more flawed than RpI IMO. Now with NET when a teams ranking is skewed it has a double effect in the quad system and that goes both ways.
