How many total wins this season?

[Gospiders06]

I have predicted our total wins in the past few years. Last year I predicted 18 wins. This year I predict 18 wins again let's reach this goal first before postseason can be thought of. We need 20+ to make the NCAA this year.


Rankings look accurate here:
http://www.barttorvik.com/trankpre.php

 

[MrTbone]

It would be criminal to win less than 14 games with this much experience returning. It also seems unrealistic to me that we will be 7+ games better, well have to be a lot better on D I think for that.

So I’m in the 14-19 camp. 18 seems likely.

 

[plydogg]

I went 14-19 wins. If we end with fewer than 14 wins I don't see a way Mooney makes it through the end of the season. I don't think we have shown enough recently for me to confidently vote for 20+ wins. I think it is possible but this is asking what I think not what I want.

 

[Ferrum Spider]

Without seeing the team practice. 23 wins NCAA bid and spider nation reunites and rallies behind Mooney. Also just want to see people’s heads explode at the very thought of what I just said.

 

[DukeDenver]

Without seeing the team practice. 23 wins NCAA bid and spider nation reunites and rallies behind Mooney. Also just want to see people’s heads explode at the very thought of what I just said.

Please Lord, we've been patient.

 

[GKiller]

20+ mortal lock. I’m hearing Cayo is looking like a beast.

NCAA or bust

 

[wr70beh]

KenPom has us 92nd. Last year we were 117 to start the season. Based on this, we'll finish in the 170s this year. 15 wins.

 

[spider23]

I'm sticking with my 20-11 prediction. Despite the coaching staff's lack of discussion and seemingly confidence in Sal - he is the X factor and comes off the bench to give us a big 6-8 points in a couple key games to put us over the edge.

https://richmond.forums.rivals.com/threads/schedule-is-out-prediction-time.11723/

 

[SpiderTrap]

I am predicting 19, maybe even 20 - but for this poll have selected 19. I think we go 9-4 in OOC and 10-8 in A10 play, which will put us right around 5th this year.

The obvious X-factor is Francis - does he live up to the hype that has been put upon him and how does he fit in with Gilyard. Other factors as well - how does Sherod return? And I agree with Spider23 - I think Sal is key piece off the bench as well as Wojcik. Last two years we have had little to no punch off the bench. So if Gilyard and Golden were not hitting, we were in trouble. But now - I think we saw last year Sal can provide some energy, and I think Wojcik can be a guy who has the ability to catch fire off the bench.
But the key among all these things is defense. We might be able to score 80 points a night, but we might also give up 85 a night.

 

[urmite]

https://kenpom.com/team.php?team=Richmond

Defense from #287 to #142?

New Mexico from #188 to #91?

 

[97spiderfan]

Just enough to keep Mooney around another year.

 

[urmite]

0-2 Bama, Wiscy
1-1 New Mex, ODU
8-1 Rest
2-4 VCU/Davidson/Dayton/URI
2-3 SLU/GMU/SBU/Duquesne
6-1 Rest
1-1 Brooklyn

20-13

 

[GaySpider]

I went 14-19 wins. If we end with fewer than 14 wins I don't see a way Mooney makes it through the end of the season. I don't think we have shown enough recently for me to confidently vote for 20+ wins. I think it is possible but this is asking what I think not what I want.

I don't think Mooney gets yeeted mid season unless he drives the team bus into the lake.

I think, in absolute terms, the team is better, but I think the rest of the A10 is MUCH better. 14 wins seems right to me.

 

[ChoppinBroccoli]

0-2 Bama, Wiscy
1-1 New Mex, ODU
8-1 Rest
2-4 VCU/Davidson/Dayton/URI
2-3 SLU/GMU/SBU/Duquesne
6-1 Rest
1-1 Brooklyn

20-13

This looks about right. 9-4 OOC is a must against this schedule.
The look-ahead lines I see have us between 4-8 and 6-6 OOC. (They skip the unknown Barclay's opponent). Man, I hope they're wrong. Especially given Mooney's performance ATS.

 

[GKiller]

https://kenpom.com/team.php?team=Richmond

Defense from #287 to #142?

New Mexico from #188 to #91?

I’m buying an above average team defense, maybe even higher. It took too long for Mooney to see the match up zone hasn’t been working for us & also focus more on D.

We have 5 plus defenders - goose gilyard Cayo Francis & burton. That’s enough to make up for weaker defenders. Everyone has weaker defenders. Our ratio is pretty good. Time to deliver. No reason not to have solid team d with that many plus defenders. 2 or 3 have been described as elite or near elite. It’s on the coaching staff if we don’t make a huge jump.

 

[SpiderRick]

Oh boy! With any luck we'll make the NIT!

The bar has gotten so low...

 

[gcarter52]

I am looking for us to reach at least 20 wins...we will surprise everyone but the team.

 

[SpiderTrap]

I think 23 is the magic number BEFORE A10 tourney for this team and schedule to be on the NCAA at-large radar. And if that happens - depending on what happens elsewhere in the A10 and country - Mooney will be up for A10 coach of the year and National Coach of the year.
I can't recall a team that had two seasons well below .500 (12-20 ans 13-20) the previous twoi seasons to turn around and become an NCAA at large team. Here is a quick list of the biggest turnarounds from 1 year.

Ohio State: 8-22 in 1997-98 to 27-9 in 1998-99 (Final Four)*

Towson: 1-31 in 2011-12 to 18-13 in 2012-13 (no postseason)

Mercer: 6-23 in 2001-02 to 23-6 in 2002-03 (no postseason)

UTEP: 6-24 in 2002-03 to 24-8 in 2003-04 (NCAA first round)

Iowa State: 15-15 in 1998-99 to 32-5 in 1999-2000 (Elite Eight)

 

[VT4700]

I think 23 is the magic number BEFORE A10 tourney for this team and schedule to be on the NCAA at-large radar. And if that happens - depending on what happens elsewhere in the A10 and country - Mooney will be up for A10 coach of the year and National Coach of the year.
I can't recall a team that had two seasons well below .500 (12-20 ans 13-20) the previous twoi seasons to turn around and become an NCAA at large team. Here is a quick list of the biggest turnarounds from 1 year.

Ohio State: 8-22 in 1997-98 to 27-9 in 1998-99 (Final Four)*

Towson: 1-31 in 2011-12 to 18-13 in 2012-13 (no postseason)

Mercer: 6-23 in 2001-02 to 23-6 in 2002-03 (no postseason)

UTEP: 6-24 in 2002-03 to 24-8 in 2003-04 (NCAA first round)

Iowa State: 15-15 in 1998-99 to 32-5 in 1999-2000 (Elite Eight)

Good research on the turnarounds. Some amazing one year improvements there. 23 wins would be huge, but it would still come down to who we beat. If we go 10-3 OOC, and 13-5 IC, but don't have any quad 1 and very few quad 2 wins, we might not be dancing. 21 wins with some quad 1s would likely be better than 23 without any. So, let's hope our conference does well OOC, which will go a long way toward getting some of the teams we play to quad 1 status, and many others to quad 2.

 

[spider23]

I think 23 is the magic number

Thank you sir, and I agree.

 

[LongTimeLurkerFirstTimePoster]

I think 23 is the magic number BEFORE A10 tourney for this team and schedule to be on the NCAA at-large radar. And if that happens - depending on what happens elsewhere in the A10 and country - Mooney will be up for A10 coach of the year and National Coach of the year.
I can't recall a team that had two seasons well below .500 (12-20 ans 13-20) the previous twoi seasons to turn around and become an NCAA at large team. Here is a quick list of the biggest turnarounds from 1 year.

Ohio State: 8-22 in 1997-98 to 27-9 in 1998-99 (Final Four)*

Towson: 1-31 in 2011-12 to 18-13 in 2012-13 (no postseason)

Mercer: 6-23 in 2001-02 to 23-6 in 2002-03 (no postseason)

UTEP: 6-24 in 2002-03 to 24-8 in 2003-04 (NCAA first round)

Iowa State: 15-15 in 1998-99 to 32-5 in 1999-2000 (Elite Eight)

Richmond 12-16 1982-1983

Richmond 20-10 1983-1984

 

[wr70beh]

Richmond 12-16 1982-1983

Richmond 20-10 1983-1984

That was the 2nd year of a new coach, and a better coach at that. It's not year 15, or year 8 of an albatross of a contract.

 

[urmite]

Richmond 12-16 1982-1983

Richmond 22-10 1983-1984

13-15 1996-1997
23-8 1997-1998

 

[urmite]

Regular Season
17-14 2008-2009
24-7 2009-2010

 

[wr70beh]

13-15 1996-1997
23-8 1997-1998

Exactly. But, once again, a regime change had to happen for the turnaround to take place.

 

[urmite]

Exactly. But, once again, a regime change had to happen for the turnaround to take place.

but 1983 to 1984 wasn't a regime change just Freshman becoming Sophmores. Including me...well, at the school, not on the team...

 

[LongTimeLurkerFirstTimePoster]

That was the 2nd year of a new coach, and a better coach at that. It's not year 15, or year 8 of an albatross of a contract.

NOT 2ND year, third year and he had the greatest player in school history and still only won 12 games.

 

[fatherspider]

I think 23 is the magic number BEFORE A10 tourney for this team and schedule to be on the NCAA at-large radar. And if that happens - depending on what happens elsewhere in the A10 and country - Mooney will be up for A10 coach of the year and National Coach of the year.
I can't recall a team that had two seasons well below .500 (12-20 ans 13-20) the previous twoi seasons to turn around and become an NCAA at large team. Here is a quick list of the biggest turnarounds from 1 year.

Ohio State: 8-22 in 1997-98 to 27-9 in 1998-99 (Final Four)*

Towson: 1-31 in 2011-12 to 18-13 in 2012-13 (no postseason)

Mercer: 6-23 in 2001-02 to 23-6 in 2002-03 (no postseason)

UTEP: 6-24 in 2002-03 to 24-8 in 2003-04 (NCAA first round)

Iowa State: 15-15 in 1998-99 to 32-5 in 1999-2000 (Elite Eight)

Yea... true... but they had great coaches. We dont even have a decent one.

 

[ur-2005]

Just wanted to bring this forum back up so you guys can see predictions made before the season compared to where we are today. I would like to say I am very happy where we are right now and it is a lot of fun being in the conversation for an at large bid

 

[Eight Legger]

I guess I forgot to post my prediction at the time, but luckily I saved it on my computer. Here it is:

"I think we'll win 23 or 24 regular season games and finish second in the league after big years from the core group, a renewed coaching effort from Mooney and excellent contributions from Tyler Burton, a future star. I also think VCU will tank this year (really!) and this Dayton squad could be in the mix for a #1 national seed (really x2!). What do you guys think?"

 

[97spiderfan]

Just enough to keep Mooney around another year.

Eight, that was good. However, I also think my preseason prediction was pretty damn spot on as well. Congrats, Moondog, ya get to torture a good percentage of our fanbase another year or two. Cheers.

 

[urmite]

0-2 Bama, Wiscy 1-1
1-1 New Mex, ODU
8-1 Rest
2-4 VCU/Davidson/Dayton/URI 3-2 one to go
2-3 SLU/GMU/SBU/Duquesne 2-2 one to go
6-1 Rest 7-0
1-1 Brooklyn

20-13

 

[Spiderstew1962]

Without seeing the team practice. 23 wins NCAA bid and spider nation reunites and rallies behind Mooney. Also just want to see people’s heads explode at the very thought of what I just said.

Spiders just finished beating Davidson for their 23rd win with one reg. season game to play. Dreams really do come true!

 

[Gospiders06]

We finished with more wins wish is improvement. The final product is getting dancing NOT going to the NIT. Get the gold.

 

[LongTimeLurkerFirstTimePoster]

Eight, that was good. However, I also think my preseason prediction was pretty damn spot on as well. Congrats, Moondog, ya get to torture a good percentage of our fanbase another year or two. Cheers.

"torture a good percentage of our fanbase"

Not even close.....You're 100% wrong.

 

[Ferrum Spider]

Without seeing the team practice. 23 wins NCAA bid and spider nation reunites and rallies behind Mooney. Also just want to see people’s heads explode at the very thought of what I just said.

Bump. Hopefully I am wrong.

 

[MrTbone]

"torture a good percentage of our fanbase"

Not even close.....You're 100% wrong.

I’m just curious, how do you know this? I sit in a section of season ticket holder and there are clearly a decent portion who have shown frustration regularly.

I expect that there are more supporters than detractors but wondering what makes you think he’s “100%” wrong.

 

[plydogg]

I’m just curious, how do you know this? I sit in a section of season ticket holder and there are clearly a decent portion who have shown frustration regularly.

I expect that there are more supporters than detractors but wondering what makes you think he’s “100%” wrong.

It just seems like people being bad fans if they’re frustrated at home games where we have only lost twice and where a majority of our home wins have been by 15+

I blame those fans sitting by you for being frustrated at a stellar home record than at Mooney for supposedly frustrating them.

 

[ChoppinBroccoli]

I'm not a STH, but I imagine those that T is referring to have memories longer than 4 months.

 

[urmite]

I'm not a STH, but I imagine those that T is referring to have memories longer than 4 months.

No, we have only lost twice in 15 season and won most by 15+...

That is why I was surprised at the complaints over the years.