I must have miscalculated or something after last weekend's games. The A-10 standings site page is really bad because it's littered with errors...missing games, duplicated games, etc.
Anyway, we're not out of it yet. We're tied with Fordham a half-game behind Dayton for the final spot.
The first Dayton–SLU game was suspended last night in the 6th with the Flyers down 8–3, so if that result holds, it'd be a three-way tie for the final tournament spot with us, Dayton, and Fordham at 9–13 heading into the final two games.
(In addition to completing last night's game, Dayton and SLU also playing a doubleheader today because of predicted bad weather on Saturday...that's a lot of baseball for those two teams today.)
I'm not going to try to figure out all of the possible scenarios because I don't know the tiebreaker rules. I assume head-to-head is first, but we lost to Dayton and didn't play Fordham, so maybe then it need to go to record against highest common opponent or something. I also don't know how a three-way tie might be broken. And UMass and GW are only a game behind us and Fordham, so they might be able to factor in as well. So, yeah...it's still a mess.