I will cheer on the Spiders regardless of coach, but here is why I think Mooney has a higher probability getting contract extension then leaving early.
1. The university is not a democracy, It is controlled by the administration, board of trustees and major donors that have a lot of high priorities. I have never heard the president of the University mention that basketball was one of the top priorities.
2. The number one goal of the administration is academics and this applies to athletics. The administration puts great value on running a clean program made up of good students. The president of the University has complimented Mooney for how he runs the program in this regard.
3. The administration has very different views on what a successful basketball season looks like than people on this forum including me. My guess is that they think Mooney has done an acceptable job over time. He has fairly consistently been in the top half of the A10, including 5th place last year. I do not think it is a goal of this administration to have a top 50 program that competes for an NCAA bid each year.
4. The bar to get fired is much higher when it requires breaking a contract. It is a large expenses that is not in the budget. It might require funding outside of the annual fund which would be very difficult to obtain.
5. We have had 3 straight very good recruiting classes with a lot of very young high quality players on the team. The team has the potential to have very good seasons the next 2 years and be in the hunt to make the NCAAs both of those years. This is perfect timing for Mooney, because it is when the university needs to make a decision relative to extending the contract.