32, does that 0% chance of an at-large bid for UR take into account those two Top 20 teams that both could very well go to the Celebration Bowl and not even be eligible for the FCS Playoffs? Or that if WM beats Albany and UD beats Villanova and we happen to win out that the only CAA one loss team that would have won 6 games in a row will be left out for an at-large bid? We certainly have no margin for error but are still are very much in the picture for a bid whether it's auto or at-large.
Keep an eye on Richmond. After a tough 1-2 start in the non-conference, the Spiders are now 5-3 overall (5-2 vs. the FCS), 4-1 in the CAA, and have one ranked win over Rhody. Games ahead include vs. Campbell, vs. Elon, and at slumping W&M. That could be eight wins and in serious consideration for a bid. But a lack of ranked wins and two losses to unranked Hampton and Morgan State could be questioned by the committee.
I believe we are in IF we win out,The Tribe is looking very pedestrian right now. We have a chance to win out but there will NEVER be an at-large bid with loses to organ State and Hampton. EVER
Still a long shot but chances improving with every win...take care of the Fighting Christians and let's settle this thing on the Reservation...STATS Poll, 10/30/2023
1. South Dakota State (8-0, 5-0 MVFC), 1,400 points (56 of 56 first-place votes)
2. Furman (7-1, 5-0 SoCon), 1,278
3. Idaho (6-2, 4-1 Big Sky), 1,218
4. Montana (7-1, 4-1 Big Sky), 1,190
5. Delaware (7-1, 5-0 CAA), 1,171
6. Montana State (6-2, 4-1 Big Sky), 1,150
7. Sacramento State (6-2, 3-2 Big Sky), 1,074
8. UIW (7-1, 4-0 Southland), 980
9. South Dakota (6-2, 4-1 MVFC), 964
10. Southern Illinois (6-2, 3-2 MVFC), 862
11. North Dakota State (6-2, 3-2 MVFC), 815
12. North Carolina Central (7-1, 2-0 MEAC), 751
13. North Dakota (5-3, 3-2 MVFC), 648
14. Chattanooga (7-2, 6-1 Southern), 578
15. Florida A&M (7-1, 6-0 SWAC), 576
16. Western Carolina (5-3, 3-2 SoCon), 516
17. Villanova (6-2, 4-1 CAA), 471
18. Northern Iowa (5-3, 4-1 MVFC), 389
19. Austin Peay (6-2, 3-0 UAC), 387
20. Lafayette (7-1, 3-0 Patriot), 354
21. UT Martin (6-2, 3-1 Big South-OVC), 314
22. Youngstown State (5-3, 3-2 MVFC), 269
23. UAlbany (6-3, 4-1 CAA), 249
24. William & Mary (5-3, 3-2 CAA), 184
25. Mercer (6-3, 4-2 SoCon), 103
Dropped Out: Central Arkansas (18),UC Davis (25)
Others Receiving Votes (schools listed on two or more ballots): Central Arkansas (5-3, 2-1 UAC) 94; Harvard (6-1, 3-1 Ivy) 80; Holy Cross (5-3, 3-1 Patriot) 48; Tennessee State (6-2, 2-1 Big South-OVC) 48; Tarleton (6-3, 2-2 UAC) 14; Richmond (6-3, 5-1 CAA) 13; Gardner-Webb (4-4, 2-1 Big South-OVC) 5; UC Davis (4-4, 2-3 Big Sky) 3
The Tribe is looking very pedestrian right now. We have a chance to win out but there will NEVER be an at-large bid with loses to organ State and Hampton. EVER