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2024 FCS Preseason Top 25 Hero:Top 25(the analyst)

We will see how good Hampton is- they get Villanova this weekend at home. Hampton has a good coach. Hampton may win this one.
 
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We should be moving up 2 spots in the STATS poll

X11. Central Arkansas (6-3, 3-2 UAC): 34-21 loss at Utah Tech

12. Mercer (8-1, 5-1 SoCon): 37-31 win over No. 23 ETSU

13. Villanova (7-2, 4-1 CAA): 20-14 win at Hampton

14. Rhode Island (8-1, 5-0 CAA): 37-28 win over Monmouth

X15. North Dakota (5-4, 2-3 MVFC): 35-31 loss at Indiana State

16. Richmond (7-2, 5-0 CAA): 35-24 win over Towson
 
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We are likely moving up 2 spots in Coaches Poll-Host Tarleton State loses
to EKU 17-13.Central Arkansas lost to Utah Tech 34-21

X7Tarleton St.7-14938D. Austin Peay, 27-17Nov. 2 vs. Eastern Kentucky
8Montana6-24609D. Northern Colorado, 24-0Nov. 2 Cal Poly
X9Central Arkansas6-240210D. North Alabama, 24-19Nov. 2 at Utah Tech
10UIW6-239111D. Southeastern Louisiana, 34-31Nov. 2 vs. Houston Christian
11Idaho6-335612D. Eastern Washington, 38-28Nov. 9 at Portland St.
12Richmond6-234813D. Bryant, 41-14Nov. 2 vs. Towson
 
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Spiders move up three spots to #13 in STATS. In addition to Central Arkansas and North Dakota, we also slipped past Tarleton, who fell all the way from #7 to #14 after losing to EKU.

 
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For those interested.

AGS Poll Results 2024 Week 10​

11/4/2024
Rank​
Team:​
Total Points​
First Place Votes​
1​
North Dakota State Bison
1058​
26​
2​
Montana State Bobcats
1045​
17​
3​
South Dakota State Jackrabbits
988​
4​
UC Davis Aggies
924​
5​
South Dakota Coyotes
913​
6​
Southeast Missouri State Redhawks
812​
7​
Incarnate Word Cardinals
764​
8​
Idaho Vandals
728​
9​
Montana Grizzlies
724​
10​
Mercer Bears
710​
11​
Rhode Island Rams
648​
12​
Richmond Spiders
584​
13​
Villanova Wildcats
514​
14​
Missouri State Bears
421​
15​
Tennessee-Martin Skyhawks
416​
16​
Tarleton Texans
415​
17​
Abilene Christian Wildcats
398​
18​
Stony Brook Seawolves
304​
19​
Illinois State Redbirds
265​
20​
Central Arkansas Bears
231​
21​
Chattanooga Mocs
219​
22​
William & Mary Tribe
161​
23​
Western Carolina Catamounts
149​
24​
East Tennessee State Buccaneers
137​
25T​
Harvard Crimson
111​
25T​
North Dakota Fighting Hawks
111​
ORV:
27​
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
58​
28​
Duquesne Dukes
50​
29​
Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks
35​
30​
Tennessee State Tigers
21​
31​
Eastern Kentucky Colonels
16​
32​
Dartmouth Big Green
15​
33​
Southern Utah Thunderbirds
9​
34​
North Carolina Central Eagles
5​
35​
Southeastern Louisiana Lions
5​
36​
Jackson State Tigers
4​
37​
South Carolina State Bulldogs
4​
38​
New Hampshire Wildcats
3​
Most Significant Win:Western Carolina Catamounts
Most Significant Loss:Central Arkansas Bears
 
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The next 3 weeks:
—————————

11/9
———

Albany v Stony

NCA&T v Nova

Elon v WM

UR v Campbell

URI v UD


11/16
———

Nova v Monmouth

UR v Hampton

Albany v URI

Bryant v WM

Stony v UNH


11/23
————


WM v UR

UD v Nova

Monmouth v Stony

URI v Bryant
 
The next 3 weeks:
—————————

11/9
———

Albany v Stony

NCA&T v Nova

Elon v WM

UR v Campbell

URI v UD


11/16
———

Nova v Monmouth

UR v Hampton

Albany v URI

Bryant v WM

Stony v UNH


11/23
————


WM v UR

UD v Nova

Monmouth v Stony

URI v Bryant
 
We'll certainly pass URI even though Delaware is a solid team...but we beat Delaware and are now in sole possession of first in the CAA.

Only other team ahead of us that lost was #6 SEMO, which fell to a pedestrian Lindenwood squad, but I don't know that they'll fall far enough in the polls for us to pass them. They've had a weak schedule and their biggest bounce was an early win over a highly ranked Southern Illinois team that then lost 6 in a row before finally beating Youngstown today for their first MVFC win, so maybe they see a big drop like Tarleton after losing last week?

Tarleton was only 3 points behind us in the STATS poll this week, and they had a fairly easy win today, but it was over West Georgia that's in its first year moving up from D-II, so I don't that that moves the needle for them even given our close shave.
 
We'll certainly pass URI even though Delaware is a solid team...but we beat Delaware and are now in sole possession of first in the CAA.

Only other team ahead of us that lost was #6 SEMO, which fell to a pedestrian Lindenwood squad, but I don't know that they'll fall far enough in the polls for us to pass them. They've had a weak schedule and their biggest bounce was an early win over a highly ranked Southern Illinois team that then lost 6 in a row before finally beating Youngstown today for their first MVFC win, so maybe they see a big drop like Tarleton after losing last week?

Tarleton was only 3 points behind us in the STATS poll this week, and they had a fairly easy win today, but it was over West Georgia that's in its first year moving up from D-II, so I don't that that moves the needle for them even given our close shave.
#4 UC Davis vs #7Montana is tied at 7 in 2nd Quarter. It will surprise me if the loser drops all the way to Spiders barring a blowout.
 
The 2024 FCS playoff bracket selection show will air on ESPNU on Sunday, November 24 at 12:30 PM ET.


FCS Playoffs: Key Dates to Know

Playoff Selection Show: Nov. 24 (12:30 p.m. ET, ESPNU)

First Round: Nov. 30

Second Round: Dec. 7

Quarterfinals: Dec. 13-14

Semifinals: Dec. 21

Championship Game: Jan. 6 at Toyota Stadium in Frisco, Texas (7 p.m. ET, ESPN)
 
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Always a good read as the season progresses:

 
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Always a good read as the season progresses:

I love it. Waste Management has to win out and beat the Spiders to have a glimmer of hope for the playoffs. We have a 58% chance of beating the Indians.

Trending towards in
Richmond 8-2 (6-0) [1.34/0.66] - @Hampton (75%), W&M (58%)

Must win out
William & Mary 6-4 (3-3) [1.29/0.71] - Bryant (88%), @Richmond (42%)
 
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#7 in the coaches poll...

 
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