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2024 FCS Preseason Top 25 Hero:Top 25(the analyst)

That projected SOS of 66 in Massey hurts. Worst projected SOS of any CAA team other than ineligible Delaware at 68.

Hope a gaudy record would be enough to still get the bye.

(Just for funsies looking at the Patriot, Holy Cross has a projected SOS of 62 and Colgate at 69. Fordham is at 77 and the rest are in the 80s and 90s.)
 
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“9. To say Richmond players have stepped up this season is an understatement. The CAA leader (8-2, 6-0) has been boosted by transfers from smaller FCS conferences, including running back Zach Palmer-Smith (Wagner, NEC) as its leading rusher and scorer, linebacker Carter Glassmyer (Saint Francis, NEC) its leading tackler and place-kicker Brandon Peskin (Fordham, Patriot League) its No. 2 scorer. The No. 11 Spiders will clinch at least a share of the conference title with a win at Hampton.”
 
The CAA leader (8-2, 6-0) has been boosted by transfers from smaller FCS conferences, including running back Zach Palmer-Smith (Wagner, NEC) as its leading rusher and scorer, linebacker Carter Glassmyer (Saint Francis, NEC) its leading tackler and place-kicker Brandon Peskin (Fordham, Patriot League) its No. 2 scorer.

One may conclude that these players would not have come to Richmond, if it was in the Patriot. The CAA is a much better conference.
 
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Why would our current recruits stay, knowing we are going to the PL?
I think the staff knows more about who may be leaving CAA for the PL.
This is not the end of the story.
 
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A Richmond offer will remain attractive because of the value of the degree, the beautiful "leafy" campus, excellent facilities, a staff with the proven ability to develop talent, and some graduates who reach the ultimate goal of playing in the NFL.

I don't see recruiting suffering from the league change. Spiders are still selling the same strong product.
 
Why would our current recruits stay, knowing we are going to the PL?
I think the staff knows more about who may be leaving CAA for the PL.
This is not the end of the story.
I think many of the incoming recruits knew Spiders were going PL when they committed.
Time will tell when portal opens which guy that were on the roster might want to go, but some are close enough to degree they will likely finish their last bit to get Richmond degree. Maybe some will use RS Senior year as many have done to move along.
Hope that is way it goes anyway.
 
Quite the comeback for UNH to take down Stony Brook. URI was in trouble for much of their game, and even after they took the lead they needed an INT at their own three and the blocked FG to preserve it in the final minutes.

So at worst, URI can tie us at 7–1 if we lose to W&M and they beat Bryant.

First tiebreaker for the auto bid is head-to-head, so that's out.

Second tiebreaker is record against common CAA opponents, and we would seemingly have that clinched as URI lost to a Delaware team we beat while our loss would be to a W&M team that URI didn't play. I'm assuming Delaware is involved in determining tiebreakers but also that they don't play any other role given they can also finish at 7–1 by beating Villanova next week.

Edit: I don't know why I did the work of figuring it out. UR says we indeed have the auto bid clinched.

 
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A win next week and I think it's impossible to keep us out of a seed, even despite our soft CAA schedule. An undefeated, outright CAA champion has to get one. A loss, though, and it will be easy to bring up our schedule and make us play Thanksgiving weekend.
The seed and subsequent bye would obviously be huge for getting a few guys healthy. Take care of business vs the Tribe…we control our own destiny which few teams do this late in the season.
 
Lots of work to do here, 11 is not a bye.
These were the results for the poll that was posted reflecting the Nov. 9 results. The schools in front of us that lost on 11/16 are

No. 2 Montana State 30
No. 4 UC Davis 28

FBS Alabama 52
No. 7 Mercer 7

Monmouth 40
No. 9 Villanova 33

Next week- 11/23- The loser of the Montana - Montana State game, probably Montana, will fall after us if we be W&M.
 
Could not find the link to this, but here is the AGS poll for this week.

AGS Poll Results 2024 Week 12​

11/18/2024


Rank​
Team:​
Total Points​
First Place Votes​
1​
North Dakota State Bison
1031​
23​
2​
Montana State Bobcats
1023​
19​
3​
South Dakota State Jackrabbits
970​
4​
South Dakota Coyotes
902​
5​
UC Davis Aggies
893​
6​
Incarnate Word Cardinals
800​
7​
Idaho Vandals
792​
8​
Mercer Bears
761​
9​
Richmond Spiders
711​
10​
Montana Grizzlies
636​
11​
Rhode Island Rams
613​
12​
Abilene Christian Wildcats
555​
13​
Southeast Missouri State Redhawks
527​
14​
Illinois State Redbirds
432​
15​
Villanova Wildcats
424​
16​
Tarleton Texans
391​
17​
Missouri State Bears
359​
18​
Harvard Crimson
283​
19​
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
256​
20​
New Hampshire Wildcats
201​
21​
Stony Brook Seawolves
182​
22​
Eastern Kentucky Colonels
173​
23​
Tennessee-Martin Skyhawks
158​
24​
Duquesne Dukes
157​
25​
Tennessee State Tigers
90​
ORV:
26​
Southern Utah Thunderbirds
51​
27T​
Jackson State Tigers
50​
27T​
South Carolina State Bulldogs
50​
29​
Chattanooga Mocs
43​
30​
William & Mary Tribe
40​
31​
East Tennessee State Buccaneers
21​
32T​
Southeastern Louisiana Lions
18​
32T​
Western Carolina Catamounts
18​
34​
North Carolina Central Eagles
13​
35​
Lehigh Mountain Hawks
11​
36​
North Dakota Fighting Hawks
8​
37​
Dartmouth Big Green
3​
38T​
Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks
2​
38T​
Towson Tigers
2​
Most Significant Win:Abilene Christian Wildcats
Most Significant Loss:Villanova Wildcats
 
Assuming a win over W&M, Herder's bracketology has us as the 7-seed bye hosting the winner of Rhode Island-Lehigh. I'd absolutely take that.

 
Only the coaches poll is explicitly mentioned, but they can use whatever they want, including the Stats poll.

My bias is for the Coaches' poll, unless we gain ground in the Stats poll.
 
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