Here is Rhode Island's understanding as of 5 days ago. What changed?
Here is the update and a correction to my first post regarding tiebreakers.
Richmond: Clinches at least a share of the CAA title and Auto-Bid from the conference regardless of their final game vs William and Mary. Win and they are sole CAA Champs.
Rhode Island: Firmly in 2nd place. Win at Bryant to secure at least second place or CAA Co-Champs with a Richmond loss. In strong position for an at-large playoff bid.
Stony Brook: Eliminated from title with loss to NH. Win this last game vs. Monmouth to keep hopes alive for a playoff bid.
Villanova: Eliminated from title with loss to Monmouth. Win this last game vs. Delaware for a chance at a playoff bid.
I was mistaken in my first post regarding tie-break games for the auto-bid. If no head-to-head matchup, they look at ALL common conference opponents. Both teams beat Campbell and Hampton but Richmond beat Delaware while Rhode Island lost giving them the edge on the tie breaker (They will also have a mutual opponent in Bryant by the end of the season but it does not matter at this point.)