I wanted to follow-up on the analysis by a Coastal Fan on their web site. We expect Richmond to use a ball control offense to keep Coastal off the field. Our strategy will closely match Liberty's efforts against Coastal. This is the same strategy that we employed against Liberty, which ended in a UR victory 46-39 in 2OT's.
We expect UR to start fast. UR has outscored its opponents in the 1Q of games by a margin of 129-43, through 13 games this season. Richmond outscored Liberty 15-0 in the first quarter. Liberty outscored Coastal 3-0 in the 1Q.
If Richmond's defense can control Coastal and if Richmond can dominate time of possession, and NOT TURN THE BALL OVER[/B], Richmond has a very good chance of winning the game.
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Some of Coastal's fans believe they will beat UR by at least 10 points.
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Time of Possession:[/B]
In Coastal's game against Liberty,[/B] Liberty dominated the time of possession (TOP) 36:53 to 23:07. Coastal's averages 28:51 in TOP, while LU averages 31:03.
In Richmond's game against Liberty,[/B] UR dominated time of possession 35:15 to 24:45 (LU). This was above UR's average TOP of 32:17.
Total Offense:[/B]
In Coastal's game against Liberty[/B], Liberty gained a total of 455 yards. This was slightly greater than its season average of 423.9 ypg. In contrast, Coastal gained only 312 yards, which was far below its season average of 468.1 ypg.
In Richmond's game against Liberty,[/B] UR gained a total of 498 yards, which is slightly above its season average of 461.3 yards. Liberty gained a total of 414, again above its average.
Passing[/B]
In Coastal's game against Liberty[/B], Liberty won the passing battle. LU went 20-34-1 for 285 yards, while Coastal went 13-23-0 for 171 yards.
In Richmond's game against Liberty[/B], UR won the passing battle. Strauss went 35-48-0 for 325 yards, while LU went 15-25-1 for 193 yards.
Rushing[/B]
In Coastal's game against Liberty[/B], Liberty won the rushing battle. Liberty rushed for 170 on 51 attempts, while Coastal went 141 yards on 32 attempts. Liberty matched its season average of 170.8 ypg, while Coastal was well below its average of 209.6 ypg.
In Richmond's game against Liberty,[/B] UR lost the rushing battle, gaining 173 yards to LU's 221 yards. UR exceeded its season average of 154 ypg.
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First Downs[/B]
In Coastal's game against Liberty, [/B]Liberty gained 24 first downs, while Coastal gained only 16.
In Richmond's game against Liberty,[/B] UR gained 28 first downs, while LU gained 17.
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Third Downs:[/B]
In Coastal's game against Liberty, [/B]Liberty was 12-21 on third downs, while Coastal was 5-12.
In Richmond's game against Liberty,[/B] UR was 13-19 on third down conversions, while Liberty was 0-10 on third downs.
Richmond leads the country in 3rd down conversions.
Scoring[/B]
In Coastal's game against Liberty[/B], Liberty scored 15 points, while Coastal scored 14. Liberty averages 32.8 points per game, while Coastal averages 37.8 points per game. Both LU and CCU scored below their season averages.
In Richmond's game against Liberty, [/B]UR scored 46 points, while Liberty scored 39. UR scored above its season average of 32.3 points, as did LU.
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Turnovers[/B]
UR has turned the ball over 35 this year (17 in 3 games). Coastal has turned the ball over only 16 times.
IF Coastal wins the turnover battle, it will be a long game for Richmond.
Competition:[/B]
Richmond fans believe the Spiders have played tougher competition than Coastal. UR has played and lost to Virginia (ACC) and New Hampshire (29-26). UR defeated Villanova 10-9. Coastal's toughest opponent, to date was Liberty.
Coastal has had a bye week and is more healthy.
Expect a close game.[/B]
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