Your first point really isnt worth debating since Mooney made the claim consistently about UR history not just his teams. Not many honest fans here would say he over achieved with tthat group he had for 5 years.
Beating Dayton at home is not over achieving. At home is an equalizing factor and Dayton lost 3 more conference games, and since UR had co player of the year, Id say talent was pretty equal. No over achieving there. Sorry.
I will give you Iowa 2 years ago but your other points just arent accurate imo. This years team was not expected to have much talent because no one knew how good transfers would be. Yes this team had as much or more talent than nearly all teams in A10 and did have a very friendly schedule as has been pointed out.
Its not worth arguing, except to say those who have watched for many years know. CM doesnt win big games against decent coaches. He just doesn’t.