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CAN THE SPIDERS BOUNCE BACK FROM 2016 SEASON?

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Can Richmond bounce back from disappointing 2015-16 season?

BY MAT SHELTON-EIDE ON MAY 4, 2016 BLOG


After a 21-win season and a solid NIT showing, the Richmond Spiders appeared poised for a potential NCAA tournament run in 2016 thanks to a roster that returned the majority of its production outside of the diminutive Kendall Anthony and his graduating 16.4 points per game.

Back were three double-digit scorers in Terry Allen (13 ppg), TJ Cline (11.8 ppg) and ShawnDre’ Jones (10.3 ppg). Set to join them was 6’8 three-point-shooting Virginia Tech transfer Marshall Wood.

The pieces were there.

Despite that offensive potential, A-10 voters ranked UofR sixth in their preseason poll, two spots lower than Chris Mooney and Co.’s 2015 regular season finish. I had them fourth and as a dangerous team that I thought could make a legit run at the league title.

We were all wrong.

Jones and Cline will hope to lead Richmond back to the top half of the A-10 next season but will have an uphill battle after the graduation of Terry Allen.

Turns out the sixth-place ranking was surprisingly generous, as the loss of Anthony and a group of missing Spider role-players resulted in a 7-11 ninth-place A-10 finish, as well as the Spiders’ worst overall record (16-16) since graduating their key production following 2011’s Sweet 16 run.

UofR managed to field a tough offensive unit, boasting the nation’s 10th best two-point offense, but one that needed every bit of that offensive production due to a defense that finished bottom-four in A-10 efficiency. The Spiders ranked second in the conference in turnover margin behind only crosstown rival VCU, but helped negate that advantage with the league’s second-worst rebounding unit.

After a solid non-conference showing the Spiders tanked in competitive A-10 games, going 1-8 against kenpom top-100 Atlantic 10 teams.

Long story short: a promising 2015-16 unit somehow managed to find mediocrity while teams like Saint Joseph’s, George Washington and even Fordham, managed to cruise past them.

So what does that mean for next season?

Again, back are talented players like Cline, Jones, Wood and Fore, as well as a promising freshman group highlighted by local product DeMonte Buckingham, but can the Spiders really improve without Terry Allen patrolling the paint? And what does it do to an already bad rebounding team to lose their leading rebounder?

An improvement on a .500 overall finish and sub-.500 conference finish would surprise me with the returning talent to Boatwright Drive.

The Spiders will once again field a strong shooting team but I worry will lack the beef down low to sure up what was an already struggling defense and a very poor rebounding unit. Richmond’s best hope to a successful 2017 March would be to 2014-15 Davidson their through this upcoming regular season, getting an outstanding year from the Spider backcourt with Cline and Wood stretching defenses as well. But expecting Jones, Fore and some talented freshman to play the roles of Tyler Kalinoski (that season’s A-10 Player of the Year), Jack Gibbs and Brian Sullivan is likely a major stretch.

I think Richmond will be a pesky team in 2016-17 but likely more of a spoiler than an actual threat thanks to losing depth from what was already a team extremely limited in that category.
 
Written by the co-founder of vdu ramnation. Thanks! OSC
 
Written by the co-founder of vdu ramnation. Thanks! OSC

Didn't realize that when I posted.
His bio:

MAT SHELTON-EIDE
Mat Shelton-Eide has been involved in college athletics since 2007, starting as a co-founder of VCURamNation.com where he covered the Rams all the way to Houston as the one-time CAA darling shocked the hoops world with a historic run to the Final 4. He has worked within two Atlantic 10 athletic departments, first as a graduate assistant in the VCU Sports Information Department during the '09-'10 basketball season, then after receiving his M.Ed. from VCU's Center for Sport Leadership, as a ticketing and marketing intern in the University of Richmond's athletic department during the inaugural season of Richmond's Robins Stadium, months before the Spiders 2011 Sweet 16 run.
 
You could tell the VDU slant by the backhanded compliments.
 
Whether he graduated from another school or not, I think he is spot on! After last years disappointment, I am looking
at a .500 season if we stay healthy.
I will have to agree with the .500 estimate since we still do not have any defensive players, just like last year. However, we have improved greatly on our offensive options and free throw shooting should get better.
 
I wouldn't say that Fordham passed us, as he does. They finished a game ahead of us, but we beat them three times.
 
Ulla, I know that I am adding fuel to the fire, but how about this: "VDU Damnednation"
 
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Nobody predicted how much better our offense would become and how much worse our defense would become after the losses of K0 and ANO. This year we lose more than last, our team could be drastically different. I think we are adding a good defender in Bernard and we have at least three unknowns with the incoming freshmen. How much our offense and defense will change is very hard to predict.
 
I think some might be underestimating Terry's contributions on both ends, he was our leading scorer most of this past season and did a lot of the tough scoring that we don't have a viable replacement for yet.

We do tend to replace the scoring void each year though, so that is at least encouraging, and hopefully we will get some offensive lift. The defensive lift is still a big question mark in my mind.
 
I think some might be underestimating Terry's contributions on both ends, he was our leading scorer most of this past season and did a lot of the tough scoring that we don't have a viable replacement for yet.

We do tend to replace the scoring void each year though, so that is at least encouraging, and hopefully we will get some offensive lift. The defensive lift is still a big question mark in my mind.

The counterargument is that we lost our leading scorer the year before, K0, and our offense actually got better. It is impossible to predict what impact losing our some of current players, adding new players, and bringing back old players (who have hopefully improved) will have on our offense and defense.
 
I'm very worried about our defense, for a few reasons. Mooney has only ever played his one style of defense, basically. It's what he knows and likes. Last year it was a disaster and he admitted at the end of the year that he will consider scrapping it and going a different direction.

If he does that, will he be able to implement, teach and stick with an entirely new defense over the summer/fall? And will it actually be any better than the old defense? The team and staff will have no way to know until we are playing actual games in the winter, and if it doesn't pan out, then what?

If he doesn't scrap it, what will change from last year? Our two "best" defenders, in Mooney's mind, graduated. So now what? Seems to me we should be even worse.
 
Ulla, I know that I am adding fuel to the fire, but how about this: "VDU Damnednation"
Mat normally seems to be leery of underestimating us, despite founding "Infernal Ramnation". While he will never truly wish us well, he has pointed out our better aspects on occasion.
 
I think we should go with a 2-3. I know we ran it a few times this year, and it wasn't that bad. Plus it isn't that hard to teach a zone.
 
I don't think our roster sets up well for a 2-3. our SF is usually a big guard, so you're putting a pretty small guy on the baseline block. and the 2-3 is awful at denying 3 pointers unless your team is really long and really quick.
 
I don't think our roster sets up well for a 2-3. our SF is usually a big guard, so you're putting a pretty small guy on the baseline block. and the 2-3 is awful at denying 3 pointers unless your team is really long and really quick.
So a 3-2 it is then...
 
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The counterargument is that we lost our leading scorer the year before, K0, and our offense actually got better. It is impossible to predict what impact losing our some of current players, adding new players, and bringing back old players (who have hopefully improved) will have on our offense and defense.
Yes, I noted that we tend to replace the scoring void each year.
 
I'm going to miss Terry greatly, but the combo of him, Trey, and Deion being our leaders was not getting it done from a leadership angle.

We were a listless ship just floating along for the latter part of last year, it is my hope that with this new combo of players will play with a little larger sense of urgency and a bit of a chip on their shoulder. I think having TJ and SDJ being the unquestioned senior leaders this year will pay great dividends in how this team plays. I think having Khwan out there is a definitive starter role also helps us a lot.

It is way too early to predict a record, I think we will be more than a .500 team, because we have some talent, but I will be much happier if I see us play with a bigger sense of passion, pride, and urgency that last year.
 
We should run the Tarrant Trashcan defense this coming season, would be a definite improvement.
 
I'm going to miss Terry greatly, but the combo of him, Trey, and Deion being our leaders was not getting it done from a leadership angle.

We were a listless ship just floating along for the latter part of last year, it is my hope that with this new combo of players will play with a little larger sense of urgency and a bit of a chip on their shoulder. I think having TJ and SDJ being the unquestioned senior leaders this year will pay great dividends in how this team plays. I think having Khwan out there is a definitive starter role also helps us a lot.

It is way too early to predict a record, I think we will be more than a .500 team, because we have some talent, but I will be much happier if I see us play with a bigger sense of passion, pride, and urgency that last year.
97, I can't agree more about the chance for new team chemistry.
 
Perhaps we don't scrap our old defense but add 2 or 3 options and continue to mix up the defense to keep our opponents off balance
 
Yeah, I see no chance and very little logic in scrapping the base D. It was good for many years, there's no reason to bail on it due to one bad year. But CM must have another D to go to if/when things don't go well. I'd be happy if we had the switching man, a 3-2 zone, and some kind of press/trap just so we're throwing different looks at opponents.
 
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