Haha, I didn't know it would be a 2% chance until I finished the calculations!
A10 Tournament Predictions
- Thread starter SpiderFan
- Start date
Haha, I didn't know it would be a 2% chance until I finished the calculations!
How much credibility can you give the author of this article when he says that the Dukes also could steal the NCAA bid? Funny
I never said it was credible. Just wanted to inform you that some regard us as a dark house. We are the type of team that could win the whole thing or the type of team to lose the first game. I think the latter is more likely...
At least we are not a senior laden team that has been pointing to this year for the last couple years as our year. Again though, totally not Mooney's fault, he has the program right where it needs to be.
I'm trying to say that 10 times daily so maybe one of these days I can convince myself that this is indeed the case.
I'm trying to say that 10 times daily so maybe one of these days I can convince myself that this is indeed the case.
We are definitely a "Dark House", the lights have been turned off that's for sure, and no one is defending it.
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A-10 is a great conference. It routinely places 3 teams in the NCAA and on good years more. Hard to complain about that IMHO.
It's easy to complain about it if Richmond is never one of the 3 teams invited. We either need to get better, or downsize to a one-bid league. We had a pretty impressive record in a one-bid league...........big fish, small pond
If we were a horse, someone would have put us out of our misery a long time ago.
I apologize if written before or in another message thread, but what is the tiebreaker if there is a four way tie for first? Which team would be at what seeding?
From the A-10 board, if there is a 4-way tie:
VCU 2-1 against the others (beat SJU and SBU would have to lose to UD)
SBU 3-2 against the others (lost to VCU, beat SJU twice, beat UD)
UD is 2-2 against the others (beat VCU, lost to SJU and split with SBU)
SJU is 1-3 against the others (lost o VCU, lost twice to SBU and beat UD)
that would give: 1. VCU 2. SBU 3. UD 4. SJU
VCU 2-1 against the others (beat SJU and SBU would have to lose to UD)
SBU 3-2 against the others (lost to VCU, beat SJU twice, beat UD)
UD is 2-2 against the others (beat VCU, lost to SJU and split with SBU)
SJU is 1-3 against the others (lost o VCU, lost twice to SBU and beat UD)
that would give: 1. VCU 2. SBU 3. UD 4. SJU
A potential match-up with VCU could happen again. Would be great if beating them knocked them out of getting into the NCAA tournament
As awesome as that would be there is no way the regular season A10 champion would be left out of the NCAA tournament.
2% !!!! In my estimation that is high. About 8:00pm tonight most of you will agree.
The only teams in the league that I wouldn't be worried about playing are Duquesne and possibly SLU.
Also hard to beat a team 3 times in one year. Look what happened to us versus Broad St. U last year. Of course, if we beat Fordham and if we get VCU, maybe payback to BSU will be worth the wait.
St Joe is screwing the pooch at home. Down 76-70 at home with 30 seconds left to Duquense. Mediocre Conference!!
Maybe when our good teams lose to other teams in the conference it is a sign of the strength and not weakness?
Voted for 1. Thinking positive and never know what can happen with a team if it gets HOT from the outside no matter how poor the D. Just looked at the bracket and those guys across town I think made out well in the lower end of the bracket.
Since UR hasn't fared well this year didn't look at RPI rankings much. Just noticed now Dayton, Joe's and Bonny look good for bids. Those other guys across town not ranked that high and haven't beaten anybody outside of conference. Played quality opponents but all losses. Could possibly they get omitted from an at-large if they lose Friday?
Since UR hasn't fared well this year didn't look at RPI rankings much. Just noticed now Dayton, Joe's and Bonny look good for bids. Those other guys across town not ranked that high and haven't beaten anybody outside of conference. Played quality opponents but all losses. Could possibly they get omitted from an at-large if they lose Friday?
Yes, they likely will be omitted if they lose before the finals. The committee values out of conference wins. OSCVoted for 1. Thinking positive and never know what can happen with a team if it gets HOT from the outside no matter how poor the D. Just looked at the bracket and those guys across town I think made out well in the lower end of the bracket.
Since UR hasn't fared well this year didn't look at RPI rankings much. Just noticed now Dayton, Joe's and Bonny look good for bids. Those other guys across town not ranked that high and haven't beaten anybody outside of conference. Played quality opponents but all losses. Could possibly they get omitted from an at-large if they lose Friday?
If it is a second loss to UMass, then it is a distinct possibility.Voted for 1. Thinking positive and never know what can happen with a team if it gets HOT from the outside no matter how poor the D. Just looked at the bracket and those guys across town I think made out well in the lower end of the bracket.
Since UR hasn't fared well this year didn't look at RPI rankings much. Just noticed now Dayton, Joe's and Bonny look good for bids. Those other guys across town not ranked that high and haven't beaten anybody outside of conference. Played quality opponents but all losses. Could possibly they get omitted from an at-large if they lose Friday?
4.2% chance of UR not showing up for second game after beating Fordham? Sick maybe?
I am pretty sure he figures out those percentages with simulations, there are just too many combinations to directly calculate the percentages. So in the simulation we have a 65% chance of beating Fordham, but due to randomness we only ended up winning in 60% of the simulated games.
Me thinks Ken will be 65% wrong.At this stage,the Bronx Rams are playing better than we are.They are better prepared and are better coached.If it wasn't for Wood's uncanny 3's we wouldn't have beaten them in the 1st matchup.We were very lucky.Wood was unconscious in the Bronx and will need to be unconscious in Brooklyn.Rams coach knows we have 2 starters who can't shoot.He also knows we get 0 offensive rebounds and don't box out for Dboards.
http://www.richmondspiders.com/mediaPortal/player.dbml?id=4898534
http://www.richmondspiders.com/mediaPortal/player.dbml?id=4898534
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