A10 Tournament Predictions
- Thread starter SpiderFan
- Start date
If somehow we could play Duquense multiple times in this tournament, I would like our odds a bit better.
The road to the A10 Title is about to get much more difficult for us. Fordham about to beat Duquesne means we're pretty much locked in with the Red Rams and no shot at the Dukes.
Depending on the Saturday results, Fordham may be wearing the white jerseys in that game.
I need a shower after having typed this message. Eww.
Depending on the Saturday results, Fordham may be wearing the white jerseys in that game.
I need a shower after having typed this message. Eww.
I think there is one other possibility. URI loses to UMass tomorrow then Fordham Saturday, then we get the blue Rams instead of red.
Not likely, and not like it helps...
Last edited:
Neither conference is very good. All that get in will be one and done. Va Tech, Clemson, and Pittsburgh are all better than any team in the A-10 and none will get in the tournament. Our top four are mediocre in my opinion after seeing them all play.
I don't understand the point of diminishing the league when we are doing nothing to raise it up. If it was costing us a bid, I'd understand.
I don't care if all 4 are out in the first round. It's $6-7m for league schools and great exposure. That said, Saint Joe and Dayton are both teams capable of winning a game or two with good matchups. Bona has outstanding guard play.
I don't care if all 4 are out in the first round. It's $6-7m for league schools and great exposure. That said, Saint Joe and Dayton are both teams capable of winning a game or two with good matchups. Bona has outstanding guard play.
Clemson lost to UMass by 17 on a neutral court... Va. Tech lost to St. Joe's by 17 on a a neutral court as well... Va. Tech would probably be around where we are in the A10, Clemson would probably be around GW's level. Pitt is doing pretty well though.
Depending on seeding and match ups I think Dayton, St. Joe's and the Bonnies can each win at least one game. Maybe VCU as well. We actually have some pretty good teams in the conference this year.
Last edited:
Bona actually stands a decent chance of getting an at-large. That second half sounded insane. 62-54 or something like that? Damn.
With their win over St. Joes they are in at this point. They have an RPI of 29 and are 2-1 vs top 25 teams. It would be insane if they were left out. St. Joe's and Dayton are comfortably in as well. If VCU beats Dayton then they will have an RPI of ~30 and be 2-2 vs top 25, pretty much guaranteeing an at large as well. 4 at larges is a very real possibility for the A10 right now, we could get 5 bids with a dark horse A10 champ. The Big East has a very real possibility of ending up with just 3 bids.
Last edited:
We are officially locked into a Fordham matchup. Only thing to be determined is who gets to wear white jerseys.
Fordham would have home court advantage in Brooklyn but I think if Allen, Cline and SDJ have good games and we get one other source of scoring (Wood or Fore), we'll win.
And looking like VCU as the #1 seed w/ an outside chance of Dayton at #1... going to be a heavy drinking afternoon if we advance past Fordham
Here's a good breakdown of the tournament seeding/tie-breakers -
http://www.basketballforum.com/atla...nding-scenarios-tiebreakers.html#post14248657
Here's a good breakdown of the tournament seeding/tie-breakers -
http://www.basketballforum.com/atla...nding-scenarios-tiebreakers.html#post14248657
I think we win two games because Coach is paying much attention now. This tournament is all about Coach. For him to win ,or for him to lose .is what is to happen. Everyone watches to see ,
Clemson also beat Duke, Louisville, Miami, Pitt and Syracuse. Va Tech is playing much better down the stretch run. I think Buzz Williams was a home run hire for them. Regardless, it looks like the A-10 will get 3-4 teams in the big dance. Hopefully one of those teams not named VCU will make a deep run. At this point I would just like to see us win a few games in Brooklyn and show some fight to finish a dreary season.
I don't know about you but I am rooting for us to win the auto-bid.
And GW beat the best team in the ACC, UVA. Our conference has good teams the can play with the 'big boys' over in the ACC. Clemson and Va. Tech would not be the best teams in the A10 and they lost the only games they played against A10 teams by huge margins. The idea that our conference is weak and doesn't deserve 4 bids is just ridiculous.
Some consider us as a dark horse to win the tournament. We could win it all, but we could also lose our first game. Who knows
http://www.a10talk.com/three-dark-horses-that-could-win-the-atlantic-10-tournament/
http://www.a10talk.com/three-dark-horses-that-could-win-the-atlantic-10-tournament/
I would agree that the A-10 has some competitive teams "at or near the top." 3-5 teams annually that are top 60 who can play with many of the big boys. Sweet 16 is not unusual for at least one team, occasionally elite 8 & final four. That is pretty solid representation.
I suspect that the reason some don't feel that good about the "league" is that the middle and bottom are typically not as strong as their cohorts in the Power 5.
The A-10 will get 3-4 teams in and those will be deserving teams. I just wish we were one of those teams.
Agree - the A10 should get 4 teams. I also feel there are good chances of wins & possibly surprises.
On GW beating UVA - That was very early in the year, and I'd bet $$$$ that would not happen at this time of the year. GW is a good team, but UVA is playing really well and IMHO would beat GW by double digits.
Tech also lost to A10 teams early on and is playing much better now and should be able to either beat or play even with most (maybe not all) A10 teams.
They're drunk.
I'd say the odds of us winning on Thursday are 50-50. The odds of us winning on Friday are about 1 in 4. The odds of us winning on Saturday are about the same, given the fact that we have a short rotation and we'd be worn down by then. I'm pretty sure that would be slighly less than a 1% chance. We just are not built for conference tournament basketball.
Comes out to ~3% to make it to Sunday given those probabilities.
Kenpom gives us a 67% chance to beat Fordham on a neutral court and a 31% chance to beat VCU on a neutral court. We also have a 30% chance minimum to beat any other A10 team on a neutral court. So...
Advance to Friday: 67%
Advance to Saturday: 21% chance
Advance to Sunday: 7% chance
Win it all: 2% chance
Last edited:
2% shot of winning our conference tournament, we are right where we need to be as a program.
Thanks. Just to clarify, you just went researching something to tell me that the chance is 2% instead of 1%?
Y'all can roast me, but the A-10 feels like a "dirty scummy league" to me. Maybe it just because of all the northern schools and VCU. Their followers all seem like Jets' fans. Anyway, it's just the feeling I have about this conference. Maybe I sit a lot closer to the opposing team's followers than you guys do.
Last edited:
Similar threads
