It is really hard to predict how good we will be next year because our front court is a complete unknown. We will have ~100 minutes of college playing time returning to our front court next season, which is ~3 games worth of playing time for a normal starter. Here are the biggest questions that need to be answered:
1) How good will Grant be next year?
We have only seen him play for ~68 minutes and while he did have good rebounding, assist and block numbers in his limited time, his shooting numbers were not great. The sample size is way too small to evaluate his offense or defense, but the fact that Mooney was playing him ~7 minutes a game as a true freshmen behind TJ is an encouraging sign. The fact that Kwesi played more minutes on average in those first 9 games is not a good sign.
2) How good will Solly be next year?
Solly will be 22 years old next season. He will be physically, and perhaps mentally, more mature than the average incoming college basketball player. He should be viewed more as a transfer from Europe than a first-year college basketball player, and hopefully will be ready to start from day 1. He visited Michigan before we nabbed him (which may suggest he has high-major talent), but did not get an offer from them. He averaged 8.3 points, 4.2 rebounds, 1.9 steals in 21 minutes per games on a junior (under 21) team in Europe, and played 5 games on the senior team as well but was pretty much invisible. I am not sure how the competition over there compares to what he will see as a spider, but if he can contribute 8 points, 4 rebounds and 2 steals per game while playing good defense at the 4 then he will be a much needed addition to our team. At 6'7 he will hopefully start at the 4 for us instead of DMB/NS.
3) How much will the true freshmen be able to contribute at the 4/5?
Our current 4, DMB, is 6'4. Next year we have 4 incoming true freshmen who are taller: Schneider is listed at 6'5, while Verbinski, Cayo and Ford are all listed at 6'7 or 6'8. Out of the 6 teams the A10 sent to the NCAAs the past 2 years, none of them had a starter over 6'7, so it is possible for very successful teams to play with centers at the size of Verbinski, Cayo and Ford. They may need to put on a little muscle/weight before they can play center though. If one or two of these players is able to contribute positively to our team at the 4 or 5 we may be in good shape. If all of them are busts we will be in very bad shape.
4) Is Gilyard as good as he looks?
If Gilyard can start at the point we will be in good shape. He is a scoring machine in high school, kind of like K0 in terms of size and scoring ability. If he can play similarly to what we saw from K0 in his freshmen year we will have a really good back court. Even if he needs some time to develop our back court should be strong, but we lack a great ball handler without SDJ and if Gilyard can fill that role we will do much better next season.
If Solly, Grant, Gilyard and one of the other freshmen perform really well we can make the NCAA tournament next year, but that is asking for a lot. We really need a solid 3 players for our front court, and if we have enough good players for the front court so that DMB and NS don't have to play there we will be a good team next year. I think we may have a similar season next year, flirting with the top of the A10 but not quite an NCAA team. In two years I hope we will be dancing again.