Spiders have moved up to 28th in the RPI. Obviously not anywhere near good enough to be in the at-large discussion. Hobart isn't a pushover on the road but we've got a solid shot against them, and then we should roll at home against Bona, so 4–1 in conference is definitely doable.
UMass remains the highest rated A-10 team, but they're not in the at-large mix either at #22 and of course the Spiders beat them. Shellacking a bad Bona team this weekend didn't help them. They finish at Joe's and hosting Hobart, so could also get to 4–1 but it won't be easy.
Joe's at #32 is of course atop the league standings at 3–0 and they hold the H2H tiebreaker over us. Clearest path to #1 seed for us if they lose to both UMass and at High Point, which isn't out of the question. Losing to UMass and beating High Point leaves a potential 3-way tie at 4–1 among us, UMass, and Joe's. I'm too lazy to figure out what happens with the seeds if those are tied and 1–1 against the group.