A10 is essentially killing itself, especially Dayton. Needed them and likely VCU to rise to the top to get more than 1 bid, but right now leaning more on Mason at this point. Still a lot of games left, and if Dayton can put together a nice 5-6 game win streak here - they might play themselves back to bubble and bid status.
In other news - how about W&M? They are 5-1 and tied for top of CAA, and are 7-0 at home. They have 3 very winnable games in Hampton, Campbell, and Monmouth coming up - before playing Charleston - one of teams tied for 1st as well. I expected a turnaround in Williamsburg, but not this fast. Not saying our loss to them is any good - we should always beat W&M, but interesting to see the success they are having year 1 down there.