Spider Women have a great opportunity to take back the A10 title after a strong Day 2 Finals and Day 3 prelims. This would end a 2 year drought for a program that has dominated the A10 since joining.
They currently hold a 10.5 point led over Davidson, who is much improved over prior years, and a 74 point lead over 2 time defending champions Duquesne.
Richmond isn’t winning with their typical dominating relay presence. Davidson has actually won all 3 relays so far. Richmond finished a close 2nd in two and 4th in the other. Hopefully that 18 point advantage from the relays for Davidson won’t come back to haunt Richmond.
Richmond strength so far has been great depth. While Davidson and Duquesne have had more wins, Richmond has racked up points but getting lots of swimmers into Finals at night.
I haven’t calculated the expected points (where is SF?) for tonight but going in to finals they look like they have a strong opportunity to extend the lead on Davidson and at least hold it against Duquesne.
Richmond has the following swims going into tonight’s finals (top 8 are locked to no lower than 8th, 9-16 can’t score better than 9th)
400 IM - 1,6,10 - Duq 2,3 - Dav 4,13
100 Fly - 3,5,13 - Duq 2,7,15,16 - Dav 1,9,11,12
200 Fr - 5,6,8,15,16 - Duq 2,9 - Dav 1,7
100 Br - 3,11,13 - Duq 6,12, - Dav 9
100 Ba - 4,5,10 - Duq 1,3,14,16 - Dav 11,12
Also today is the 1M Diving event which Richmond should score well in relative to its main competitors. They out scored Duq by 15 and Dav by 22 in the 3M event yesterday.
The final event of the night, the 400 Medley Relay will probably come down to these 3 teams again. Each team, depending on who is available to swim, should have an advantage on one leg of the relay (Rich 100 BR, Duq 100 Ba, Dav 100 Fly).
Based on prelim swims Duq could get out to close to a 2 sec lead (on Rich, 3 sec on Dav) in the Ba, with Richmond closing that gap in Br by at least a sec, and Dav gaining some time in the Fly leg. If you add the current prelim times up for those 3 events Rich should have about a 1 sec led on Duq and 1.5 on Dav heading into the Fr leg. I like those odds if Laura Merlin or Maggie Purcell is swimming FR.
They currently hold a 10.5 point led over Davidson, who is much improved over prior years, and a 74 point lead over 2 time defending champions Duquesne.
Richmond isn’t winning with their typical dominating relay presence. Davidson has actually won all 3 relays so far. Richmond finished a close 2nd in two and 4th in the other. Hopefully that 18 point advantage from the relays for Davidson won’t come back to haunt Richmond.
Richmond strength so far has been great depth. While Davidson and Duquesne have had more wins, Richmond has racked up points but getting lots of swimmers into Finals at night.
I haven’t calculated the expected points (where is SF?) for tonight but going in to finals they look like they have a strong opportunity to extend the lead on Davidson and at least hold it against Duquesne.
Richmond has the following swims going into tonight’s finals (top 8 are locked to no lower than 8th, 9-16 can’t score better than 9th)
400 IM - 1,6,10 - Duq 2,3 - Dav 4,13
100 Fly - 3,5,13 - Duq 2,7,15,16 - Dav 1,9,11,12
200 Fr - 5,6,8,15,16 - Duq 2,9 - Dav 1,7
100 Br - 3,11,13 - Duq 6,12, - Dav 9
100 Ba - 4,5,10 - Duq 1,3,14,16 - Dav 11,12
Also today is the 1M Diving event which Richmond should score well in relative to its main competitors. They out scored Duq by 15 and Dav by 22 in the 3M event yesterday.
The final event of the night, the 400 Medley Relay will probably come down to these 3 teams again. Each team, depending on who is available to swim, should have an advantage on one leg of the relay (Rich 100 BR, Duq 100 Ba, Dav 100 Fly).
Based on prelim swims Duq could get out to close to a 2 sec lead (on Rich, 3 sec on Dav) in the Ba, with Richmond closing that gap in Br by at least a sec, and Dav gaining some time in the Fly leg. If you add the current prelim times up for those 3 events Rich should have about a 1 sec led on Duq and 1.5 on Dav heading into the Fr leg. I like those odds if Laura Merlin or Maggie Purcell is swimming FR.