Odd topic Phil Steele

[I-M-UR]

Although I usually buy a couple of football magazines before the season for some casual reading, I was late this year and the only one left was Phil Steeles. There is lots of info crammed into this periodical, lots of abbreviation but it doesn't cover FCS at all. One of his favorite analytics is YPP.

Yards per point. His analysis shows that teams with a high YPP 17.5 or more tend to have a better record the next year 65% of the time. The higher the more likely to improve their record. Teams with YPP below 13.5 tend to have a worse record the next year. So I did the CAAs.
YPP
Total yardage points ypp
UR 6326 362 17.5
JMU 6345 531 11.9
WM 5349 402 13.3
NH 4305 287 15.0
MAINE 3539 164 21.6
TOW 3897 260 15.0
ELON 2829 147 19.2
NOVA 3998 231 17.3
SB 3008 173 17.4
ALB 3050 165 18.5
RI 2643 145 18.2
Del 3151 164 19.2

I'm not sure how it appliess ?

 

[ReturnOfBigHouse]

One of Steele's main variables to predict turnaround is turnover margin. Yards per point is not too far off this. If you gain a lot of yardage and don't score many points, it is likely that you turned it over a lot. For example, I believe we rolled up nearly 500 yards of offense against UVA 2 years ago but got blasted. Why? Because we turned it over a ton in that game.

 

[I-M-UR]

One of Steele's main variables to predict turnaround is turnover margin. Yards per point is not too far off this. If you gain a lot of yardage and don't score many points, it is likely that you turned it over a lot. For example, I believe we rolled up nearly 500 yards of offense against UVA 2 years ago but got blasted. Why? Because we turned it over a ton in that game.

That and I'm assuming teams with a decent offense but have problems in the red zone get them worked out for the next season. Its just odd some teams in the CAA don't seem to be following Steeles YPP analysis some do. I just hope we're one who does.