So a mixed bag of truths and misconceptions in VT posts on these topics.A lot of D2 and D3 players can definitely play, and many are better than D1 players. Especially D2. Many would rather go D2 and play a lot of minutes and be stars on a winning team than go play D1, where they might not get the minutes. But, some are definitely good enough where they could be real good at the D1 level. Nova Southeastern just won the D2 title, and 4 of their guys transferred up, including to Memphis, GA, and Charleston, and Auburn recently landed a real good D2 guy also. Nova's coach said it's crazy how much money these guys are being offered now.
First off - - its absolute fact there are kids at D2 level who are good enough to play D1 (and in todays game are getting NIL money to go do so!).
However, It is very (and I mean VERY) rare that a a kid chooses D2 opportunity over any D1 opportunity. It just doesn't happen. The kids who end up good enough for D1 didn't "choose" D2. They are there for one of several reasons - - academics and no one yet recognizing them as a D1 talent accounting for the vast majority. And don't be confused by a kid's commitment post or the local paper where it says the kid picked School X (D2) and other schools with interest included . . . School Y (D1) or even an outright statement that he chose School X over School Y. Local writers, parents, HS and AAU coaches and kids themselves frequently want it to sound that way and/or to make the kid feel good, but I can tell you as someone who works with dozens of recruits every year (boys and girls) and talks regularly with coaches on both levels - - it doesn't really happen. The telltale sign is that NO D2 coach is trying to outrecruit any D1 team for any player. I hear (all the time) - - "hey if it doesn't work out for your guy with (insert name of D1 schools) we'd absolutely love to have him/her so let me know" or something similar. These coaches know they aren't getting these kids if they have a D1 opportunity.
And think for a second about the stated reason a kid might go D2 over D1 - - playing time etc. Understand that a kid in this situation isn't choosing between riding the bench at a P5 school and being a star at D2. His D1 option(s) are at the lower end of D1 where he almost certainly thinks he has a chance to play (and in fact probably does have a chance). The kid who is worried about riding the bench at a P5 will have options in lower D1 for the playing time! The playing time "promise" between the D1 options a kid who might do this has and his D2 options just isn't that wide and its especially not going to seem wide to the kid (and remember - - the D1s recruiting him aren't telling him he's going to be a bench guy etc.) The only time I could see this truly happening is (a) kid has interest from one and only one D1 AND there is a connection or reason that school is interested (family connection, coach connection etc) , but a host of D2/D3 interest (in which case the kid might actually buy in to the playing time thing or (b) the kid being what I call a "tag along" recruited" by the d1(s). In the first instance, the one and only school and that school has some ulterior motive might be enough to convince the kid about no playing time at D1. 2nd one is really the same - - - kid understands his D1 option is part of recruiting someone else (and not necessarily someone in same class) and decides that might get him an offer but not playing time and decides to be his own guy - - and those offers are in fact D2. Both of these are rare instances.
So, in summary, a number of kids at D2 that can play D1 - - - but almost none of whom had D1 options and chose D2 in their HS recruiting cycle.