I'm not feeling like we have a 61% chance of winning.Belmont and arrives 8-2 with losses to Furman and LMU. ESPN says Spiders have 61% winning change. Suspect the line will be Spiders -2 or so.
Return of Aidan Noyes who is averaging 17 minutes, 4 points. 3 rebounds as a redshirt junior.
Their last game was against MTSU on Saturday, and he was in street clothes.Noyes had a bit of a breakout game on 11/17 vs. Tulane - 14 points (4-6 from three) and 7 rebounds in just 17 minutes - but just went scoreless in their last game against Illinois St. Curious to see how he does in this game.
It would end in a zero-zero tie. Both guys would just look to pass the ball and never take a shot.The Aidan Noyes revenge game!!!
If he plays.
I think we should have him and Tanner play a game of 1:1 pre game, just for fun.
Thanks - was just looking at his individual game logs.Their last game was against MTSU on Saturday, and he was in street clothes.
"I'll take negative outlook for one thousand, Alex"Belmont - one of the not so terrible games on our schedule. And really when you go back and look - a program that has done a lot of winning at the mid-major level. They had Rick Byrd for many years - who took them to Division 1 and then led them to 8 NCAA tourneys in 23 years. With the last 9 years winning 20 or more games each season. Then they bring in former player Casey Alexander to take over when he retired - and the winning continues - 5 years of 20+ win seasons. 1 NCAA tourney (canceled due to COVID).
Positive outlook - Spiders win this game, but comes down to the wire. Roche hits a 3 in the last minute to give UR the lead, and then free throws seal it up. Spiders win 67-64. The win streak begins before A10 play.
Negative outlook - Spiders take early lead, but then go dry in the 2nd half. Belmont pulls away and Aidan Noyes gets his revenge and plays 20 minutes, and grabs 7 rebounds and scores 12 points. Belmont 71 - UR 65
And we're 1 in every 6 1/3 year. Would beg for their success which is much more reasonable and acceptable. If CM achieved that at UR, I do believe many on here would not be as critical, but reality is that's not the case.8 ncaa appearances in 23 years! That’s like one every three years. Are teams really allowed to participate in the NCAA tourney that often?
I dunno. Just checked his stats, and nothing to glow about this season. Thought he had good upside 2 years ago, but when given opportunity last year he was pretty invisible. Once benched and later injured didn’t see much more playing time. I do agree with CM on that move.have no idea how it's going to go but really looking forward to this game. The best team both legacy wise and rankings wise we will play at home in the non-conference so a win here would be especially meaningful all things considered. VERY interested to see what kind of game Noyes is about to drop on us.
Time will tell. But we've done nothing this year to warrant this respect.ESPN says Spiders have 61% winning change. Suspect the line will be Spiders -2 or so.
I agree. Didn't see much from Noyes when he was here - so no real worry about him leaving. But on that same note - on this board it has been talked how great the current frosh class is and even with them redshirting, they provide a foundation for the future. But in the 19 years at UR - how many redshirt FROSH have turned out to be impact players for us? I have not had time to go back and research so I really have no idea.I dunno. Just checked his stats, and nothing to glow about this season. Thought he had good upside 2 years ago, but when given opportunity last year he was pretty invisible. Once benched and later injured didn’t see much more playing time. I do agree with CM on that move.
I'm going to guess none. but I do think this could be different. we weren't bringing in blocks of upper class transfers before. without the transfers I think JRob and McG would be playing. we thought the transfers would block the true freshmen from getting meaningful minutes.But in the 19 years at UR - how many redshirt FROSH have turned out to be impact players for us?
Good question on redshirts. However, redshirting in the NIL & Portal Era is a dangerous proposition. Maybe the players stay or maybe they go.I agree. Didn't see much from Noyes when he was here - so no real worry about him leaving. But on that same note - on this board it has been talked how great the current frosh class is and even with them redshirting, they provide a foundation for the future. But in the 19 years at UR - how many redshirt FROSH have turned out to be impact players for us? I have not had time to go back and research so I really have no idea.
agreed, but we didn't relegate McG or JRob to redshirt. it was presented. they chose it. gives them 5 years of paid college plus NIL. I'd probably jump at that too unless I was expected in the top 7.Bottom line - no guarantees with redshirts if they'll stay or if they'll develop over time.
I don't see how this makes sense. If you are good and ready to play, there shouldn't even be a consideration of a redshirt.I'm going to guess none. but I do think this could be different. we weren't bringing in blocks of upper class transfers before. without the transfers I think JRob and McG would be playing. we thought the transfers would block the true freshmen from getting meaningful minutes.
same thing could happen next year. doesn't mean Richardson, Harper and Argabright aren't really good. but if scholarshipped rosters are expanding to 15 and we add some upperclass transfers, there won't be time for everyone.
But, it was likely presented to them in a "you are buried behind guys and I don't see an avenue for playing time this year, what do you think about redshirting this year" way, right? I don't see any other way a coach would bring up redshirting. Do you? So, they chose this because their coach all but told them they won't get minutes this year. We hadn't even played a game. We had a bunch of new guys here, so it wasn't like we had Jacob and Grant and those teams who we knew had great talent to keep guys buried on the bench.agreed, but we didn't relegate McG or JRob to redshirt. it was presented. they chose it. gives them 5 years of paid college plus NIL. I'd probably jump at that too unless I was expected in the top 7.
no guarantee they use it all here, but they get it.
And, my hopes of them making an impact have lowered dramatically. Freshmen are playing all over college basketball because these fresmen have played hundreds of competitive games year round and are ready to help now. So, with our team being as bad as it is, we have a couple freshmen who are redshirting and giving us 0% chance to help with our struggles this year.But still the question remains - forget NIL and portal. We have 2 frosh this year, who are redshirting. Have we had any redshirts in the Mooney area that have turned out to be impactful players (key starters) in his time here.
I am not considering are they ready to play this year or not. I am trying to see - have we had guys redshirt and then become impact players for us. I can't think of any off the top of my head. Nelson-Ododa? Did he redshirt?
And, my hopes of them making an impact have lowered dramatically. Freshmen are playing all over college basketball because these fresmen have played hundreds of competitive games year round and are ready to help now. So, with our team being as bad as it is, we have a couple freshmen who are redshirting and giving us 0% chance to help with our struggles this year.
So, your answer is Zero to the number of impact players we had that redshirted during Mooney's entire tenure. But then think that Jrob and McG will be break that 20 year body of evidence to the contrary.I'm going to guess none. but I do think this could be different. we weren't bringing in blocks of upper class transfers before. without the transfers I think JRob and McG would be playing. we thought the transfers would block the true freshmen from getting meaningful minutes.
we'll see. let's look at Burton as an example. if the portal was as active back then as it is now and we were bringing in upperclass transfers, then I don't know that Burton (as good as he ended up) would have gotten the 14 mpg and 4.6 ppg he got as a freshman.My guess is these guys are a lot closer to Tanner and Noyes than Tyler ...
I'm saying that a month ago nobody thought, as you put it, "we probably have our least talented team during Mooney's tenure".So, you answer is Zero to the number of impact players we had that redshirted during Mooney's entire tenure. But then think that Jrob and McG will be break that 20 year body of evidence to the contrary.
Even though, we probably have our least talented team during Mooney's tenure and neither of them are able to beat out the current competition for minutes.
great starting 5, but no depth after Goose. yes, Burton was better as a freshman than Verbinskis and Koureissi. that was likely an easy call.If either of these guys resembled Burton in any way shape or form, Mooney would have them in the line-up faster than the guy who fills his sippy cup. Burton got minutes a starting line-up of Gilly, Blake, Golden, Cayo, and Sherod, one of our best starting line-up Mooney put on the floor, including 2 all time greats.
yes, that's the worst case scenario.The other option though is the worst, and may be the truest, Mooney recruited bad in the portal, in the HS ranks, and did not have any pull or connections to get anything accomplished scheduling.
If it quacks like a duck.
Yes, please. That is a legitimate question that is asked of any D-1 college coach whose team is struggling. Mooney of course will become all bristly if he is asked but the question needs to asked, either at the coaches show or by media. And we know Philly Bob ain't asking that.don't expect it, but would love JOC to pose the question:
"we heard great things about the 2 redshirted freshmen this summer. how are they progressing and is there any talk about taking off their redshirts to see if they can help?"
Seriously? You don't think Tyler's combination of talent and athletic abilty would have gotten him minutes as a freshmen if the portal were the same? You really think Dusan and AP would have beaten him out? Also, would we have even landed anyone very good in the portal anyway, knowing we had our whole team returning. No portal addition would have started that year, so you are miles off comparing 2020 to this team talent wise anyway. Bottom line is Tyler got over 14 mpg as a freshman on a very talented team. Robinson and McGlothin are redshirting on a very flawed, non athletic, slow, non shooting team.we'll see. let's look at Burton as an example. if the portal was as active back then as it is now and we were bringing in upperclass transfers, then I don't know that Burton (as good as he ended up) would have gotten the 14 mpg and 4.6 ppg he got as a freshman.
I think we only had 11 active scholarshipped players in 2019-20:
Gilyard
Golden
Sherod
Cayo
Francis
Goose
Burton
Verbinskis
Wojcik
Koureissi
Grace
what if we had hit the portal and landed a grad transfer like Dusan and a junior like AP to fill out the 13 man roster? what if we didn't miss on Verbinskis and Koureissi?
Burton might have been in the same spot at JRob and McG ... not getting the early opportunity. and we'd have been wondering if he was a bust.
No depth after Goose? We don't go 24-7 without depth. Only Jacob and Blake played over 30 mpg, and we used our bench a lot. Goose, Tyler, and Wojcik played over 19, 14, and 11 mpg, and we had Grace backing up Grant. Wow, Sman, you are way out there on this one, acting like Tyler wasn't that good as a freshman and only played because we didn't have guys like AP and Dusan in front of him? Come on, man!!great starting 5, but no depth after Goose. yes, Burton was better as a freshman than Verbinskis and Koureissi. that was likely an easy call.
But, it was likely presented to them in a "you are buried behind guys and I don't see an avenue for playing time this year, what do you think about redshirting this year" way, right? I don't see any other way a coach would bring up redshirting. Do you?
I think Trey Davis was a frosh redshirt, but not sure I could classify him as an impact player by the end.
Paul Friendshuh - think he had injury as frosh and redshirted? Never turned into anything for UR.
Grant Golden - he was actually playing as a frosh, so not sure I would count him. Then he had injury (cardiac) - and was given redshirt. So I don't think he redshirts if that issue doesn't appear - so I would not count for this instance.
Noyes - he redshirted, didn't play and transferred out.
So point is - not much track record on our Redshirts turning out to be impact players. And I think its only tougher now for them to do so - because higher probability a transfer comes in, and is better and takes their minutes for a year - thereby possibly slowing their development.
don't expect it, but would love JOC to pose the question:
"we heard great things about the 2 redshirted freshmen this summer. how are they progressing and is there any talk about taking off their redshirts to see if they can help?"
sorry VT. just calling it like I see it. super strong top 5. Goose was a nice #6. Burton played a decent amount because there was no #7.No depth after Goose? We don't go 24-7 without depth.