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CAA Post Season Predictions

Stonewall D

Graduate Assistant
Dec 18, 2008
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It might be a little early for this...But, I predict 4 CAA teams in the post-season this year. They are
UR
JMU
W&M
Maine or Delaware (probably Maine).
 
With losses to Jacksonville(PFL) and being shut out by URI,UD aint going anywhere after Nov 21st.

Maine's remaining schedule includes away games with Nova and UNH and hostingTowson.Their probability of success is remote given their anemic offense.Their loss while hosting Yale is a BIG negative.

Neither UD or Maine get in unless they get the CAA AQ.

JMU's dependence on the now MIA offensive stud Mr Lee will be tested this weekend at Bill and Mary.The outcome of that game will tell a lot about both teams.
 
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Yes, but a 7-4 CAA team will probably make the playoffs. Towson probably has the best change of winning 3 of their next 4. They play Delaware, Maine, W&M and URI. If they won 3 of these four, it would be them in the mix. Towson would be 5-3 in conference.
 
Yeah, I don't see more than 3 bids for the CAA.

All of Maine's conference wins have come against the bottom of the conference, they haven't yet played the middle tier, and they don't play the other top tier teams, so they have no chance for a signature win at this point.

Delaware or Towson could conceivably run the table and get into the discussion, but it's a stretch. Towson actually probably in the best spot since they only have three losses, including ECU and JMU. The Elon loss is a bad one, but that can be overlooked if they finish out with some decent wins over UD/Maine/W&M.

Hard to know what to make of UD...got some decent wins against W&M and UNH and two more shots against Towson and JMU, but that shutout at the hands of URI is a big red flag.
 
one thing we are not discussing here is the other conferences so a team from the caa might make it based on what other leagues are doing or actually, not doing. umwcah is so far up, be difficult to eliminate them unless they lose the rest and doubt they come close to that. not really caring about any other team, just want us to get after it and bring it home.
 
If there's a 7-4 CAA team - even JMU - i predict they make the playoff field. Very 'soft bubble' with 24 teams in the bracket. Making the playoffs doesn't mean as much as it used to.

I'm more interested to see what happens with us. I think it's something like this:

Go 10-1: Top 4 seed, possibly Top 2 seed.
Go 9-2: Bye on Turkey Day weekend, host the first weekend of December
Go 8-3: Host on Thanksgiving Weekend
Go 7-4: Travel on Thanksgiving Weekend
 
Seems crazy Maine could end up 7-1 in the CAA with their best wins being over a couple ~.500 squads and a loss to Yale.
 
At 8-3 or 7-4 we will outbid paired team(unless it's a Dome team or Montana) and we would host Turkey weekend.All this is arbitrary conjecture.Cant count the turkeys before they hatch
 
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If there's a 7-4 CAA team - even JMU - i predict they make the playoff field. Very 'soft bubble' with 24 teams in the bracket. Making the playoffs doesn't mean as much as it used to.

I'm more interested to see what happens with us. I think it's something like this:

Go 10-1: Top 4 seed, possibly Top 2 seed.
Go 9-2: Bye on Turkey Day weekend, host the first weekend of December
Go 8-3: Host on Thanksgiving Weekend
Go 7-4: Travel on Thanksgiving Weekend

I expected things to change with the expanding field but they sure have changed in a hurry. I remember an 8-3 CAA team being left out rather recently.
 
you don't want to leave things in the hands of some committee, you have the opportunity of making that choice for them on the field............do it!!
 
7-4 doesn't get in if you lose your last three games. We need at least 8-3 to get in the playoffs.
 
It's moot because we're not going to finish 7-4, but there won't be 24 teams more deserving than us if we do. The playoffs are outrageously watered down now. It's possible that a 6-5 team could make it.
 
The playoffs are outrageously watered down now. It's possible that a 6-5 team could make it.
Yes, that is why we have a playoff system. They are saying that the MVFC could have 5 or 6 teams in this year. The Big Sky could have 4 or 5. That is a big portion of the field. Yes a 6-5 team could make the playoff, but it won't be from the CAA. Our options after UR, JMU or W&M are Towson, Delaware or Maine. UNH and NOVA are really down this year.
 
With the MEAC losing an autobid, how many at large teams are there now? It will be interesting to see how many 7-4/6-5 teams get an at large.
 
I am like Mo, my concern is us. I feel confident we will get in. I just hate the way the committee seem to match CAA teams to quick in the pairing. By rule you cannot meet a coference foe in round one. I would rather not match up to JMU or W&M the next round.
 
I have a spreadsheet that shows the standings based on the results of upcoming games. I was quickly able to create a nightmare scenario where there is a 7-way tie for first place in the CAA at 5-3. :)
 
I have a spreadsheet that shows the standings based on the results of upcoming games. I was quickly able to create a nightmare scenario where there is a 7-way tie for first place in the CAA at 5-3. :)

Although I have not seen the scenario, I do not sense it is favorable for our season ending games. Bite your spread sheet
 
Am I reading correctly that the gutted SoCon is ranked higher than CAA Football? That's really pathetic.
 
Your eyes do not deceive. I think Sagarin relies heavily on strength of schedule, and since the SoCon plays a number of money games against SEC teams.
 
that is the flaw with rating services and just numbers, they have the bias of somebody all over them. each guy or gal has hot buttons which they feel is the crown and thus sway things in that direction. numbers are good, necessary but also not perfect.
 
Am I reading correctly that the gutted SoCon is ranked higher than CAA Football? That's really pathetic.

We ought to do a SoCon CAA week, Based on prior years finish every CAA team should play the SoCon team in the same position. 1 OOC game it would be interesting for every team
 
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