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2024 Bracketology

I know Lunardi has already put out a few editions since the end of last season, but he gave another update yesterday so figured might as well bring it up. He's got the A-10 as a one-bid league with Dayton getting the AQ at an 11-seed. No A-10 teams in his first eight out either.

RPIM - Siena

PlayerRPIM
Isaiah Bigelow25.96
Dji Bailey22.13
Jordan King18.44
Jason Roche17.00
Delonnie Hunt15.50
Michael Walz13.86
Neal Quinn10.37
Aidan Noyes9.56
Tyler Harris9.25
Mikkel Tyne5.03
Collin Tanner4.73
Trevor Smith2.10
Liam Weaver0.20
Jack Graham-0.93
Quentin Southall-2.62

Great performances all around in this one, but a big shout out to Bigelow and Bailey, who really showed out against Siena. I really like to see where Dji's game is heading now that he's fully healthy, and Bigelow showed what he can do with smart, efficient shot taking. Bigelow's efficiency at the line pushed him over the top, and I think that will be key this season in close games. It helps to have a cast around that can really pick up the slack with this roster. Additional shout out to Walz, he looked excellent off the bench and is proving he has what it takes. 5 players over 15 points and 7 over 10 points is what we're looking for!

The Worst Call in the History of "The South's Oldest Rivalry"

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I'm sure many of the outstanding Spiders fans who were in the stands on the Reservation November 19, 2016 will never forget this awful call!..some are probably still steamed

for those not familiar with the call...the 2016 Richmond squad, Coach Rocco's last season, was 8-2 coming into the game, a significant favorite and led by future pro Kyle Lauletta at QB...a win may have gotten us a seed and home games all the way to the FCS Playoff semis...

you know the rest of the story...Lauletta was injured and lost for the game and season...but our guys didn't quit as evidenced by this play

the forced fumble, recovery and TD may not have won us the game, but it sure would have put us back into the game and given us a chance...

it's been seven seasons now and I've forgotten again which Spider forced the fumble, but he clearly still wanted to win!...he did what he could to turn the game around and was ejected...I don't think the CAA had replay in 2016 and the official clearly was unfamiliar with the new call!...

looking very much forward to returning to Cary Field on Saturday!

Go Spiders!

Free Throw rate

A great takeaway from game 1 was the team getting to the line 32 times, including 28 times by members of what appears to be the 9 man rotation, who shot 22-28.

Thought it would be good to track bc it’s likely a sign of the team’s offensive aggressiveness on a game by game basis, and is a repeatable way for guys to generate easy points. Especially from the lead guards.

Great that Quinn went 4-4 as well.

Early First Thoughts - Game 2

A lot to like again. Smack down an inferior opponent and run away early in the 2nd half, then clear the bench to get young guys game reps and time on the court.

King had 5 early points. Maybe rushed a shot but overall knew other guys were cooking and didn't force his own shot just to try and get numbers.
Hunt - all over the court again on defense and fearless on offense. He seems good at drawing contact on drives, a quality skill.
Bigelow - good Bigs showed up and he utilized his ability to get to the rim and to the FT line. He should try to live there.
Quinn - under control again. Had some nice moves but also some issues against a more athletic defender at times. With his footwork, he just doesn't explode vertically at all. But gave the team what it needed. Keep doing that. Will need him to overperform at some point, but he may just be the steady 6-10 points guy and not a 14+ points guy.
Noyes - quiet game but other guys were playing well so it wasn't like he was playing badly, just didn't make much of an impact.
Bailey - really great game, his best that I've seen. Love his confidence so far this year. Hit 2 threes which is huge if that is now part of his game. Elbow seems to be aiming very wide on his FTs.
Roche - thought he also had an excellent game. In constant motion and to me looked quicker than last year. It could just be VMI and Siena were slow, but he did what we need. He's a real weapon playing with these guards.
Tyne - I already love Tyne. Plays like a junior with the ball in his hands. I have about 95% confidence when he has it that it's not going to get stolen or a bad pass isn't coming, which is like 45% more than anyone last year. Bright future for him IMO, haven't seen him drill the 3s so much just yet, but otherwise, a great start for him.
Walz - tonight was the most offense I've seen from him, which is good! But he still turns it over, and got outhustled to the ball a couple times, which is bad! Needs more reps and to have one solid no mistakes type game. Hitting the 3 was both unexpected and nice. Gonna be like that a lot I think. Seems to be too in his own head at times.
Harris - glad he's getting run here these games bc we may need him at some point. Looks like he could get some buckets inside.
Smith - also glad he's getting on the court. His handle looks good. He's skinny.
Tanner - Nice little mid-range hoop tonight, touch looked very soft. He looks more like the height in the picture where he's shorter than Moon, than the 6'6" from his recruiting profile.
Graham - has some zip on his passes. Couldn't tell much else.
Southall / Weaver - in the games, getting stats! That's a win.

My quick hitter thoughts:
Passing was terrific, one of the best passing games I've seen in many years from the Spiders. Ball movement was nonstop and it set up the offense perfectly. I'm a critic of Moonball sometimes (mostly against aggressive athletic defenses), but when it works, it does look nice.
10-18 from 3. A lot of it set up by the passing and cutting.
At one point the lineup was two guards, Roche and Dji, along with Quinn. My head exploded, but it worked well. Moving Dji to forward has unlocked him.
Speed kills. King, Hunt and Tyne are ball hawks. Opposing guards who are slow or whose handles are mediocre will have it tough this year.
There was some full court pressing! My already-exploded head dissolved.
Switching and resulting traps were pretty effective, especially when it was guys like Dji and Bigs on the trap, guys with height and long arms.
I like Dji off the bench for that energy burst and knowing he's coming in with confidence and being expected to look for his offense. If he started, this probably wouldn't be the case as much as we try to get Quinn and King going early in games. I expect we'll see him finishing more games, which is the key thing.
Crowd looked lifeless on tv, and looked like maybe 5k ppl. Lots of visible empty seats on the broadcast in most shots.
I heard the Wawa 3 stupidity tonight. I like Wawa fine but maybe they can send that one back to the drawing board.

Altogether a great game. Never in doubt.

Possible minutes

Let's say the BC game is close, and we only play our top 9 guys. What will the minutes look like? I am thinking:

King 35
Hunt 35
Bigs 30
Quinn 28
Noyes 18
Roche 16
Dji 16
Walz 12
Tyne 10

* For any close game, I could see the top 4 and bottom 2 guys consistently getting these minutes, regardless of opponent and style of play. Quinn and Walz will likely combine for 40, and King, Hunt, and Tyne should combine for 80. King and Hunt need to play a lot of minutes, and I think we need Quinn and Bigs out there a lot.

That leaves about 50 minutes for Noyes, Dji, and Roche, which I think could vary based on opponent, style of play, whether we need more offense or defense out there, and how these guys are playing. So, each could get 20+ minutes some games, but also might only get 10 or so. So far Dji has brought some good offense. If that continues, no question his minutes will be good, but even if the offense is not there some games, his defense will get him some good time. With Roche, I think his 3 ball is too important to not give him good minutes. That leaves Noyes, who I think is still a little bit of a question mark, but not because he hasn't played well. He has hit a couple of 3s and gotten 4 rebounds a game in only 15 mpg, which is a definite positive. I like what I have seen so far, and he could be a productive starter, but the uncertainty comes from the fact he didn't have to do much our 1st 2 games, so we will need to see what type of impact he will bring in a close game.
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Game Thread: UR vs Siena 11/11

Game Thread for the Siena game on Saturday night
8:00 ESPN+

The Saints pulled out an opening night win over Holy Cross (73-71). They had 3 players in double figures. Eley (24), Tekin (16), & Emejuru (11). As a team, they shot 45% from the floor (7-18 from 3pt range). I don't know much else about them as a program, so I'm excited to see how this one pans out.
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2023 Richmond Spiders Football - Opponent's Countdown - Elon

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don't look now, but the former Fighting Christians are the Spiders final regular season home game...there's a very realistic chance that we could be undefeated, 4-0 CAA, 6-0 Overall, at home, if we can defeat the Phoenix...I'm not sure when we last went undefeated at home on the season...

preseason projections and expectations don't mean too much, but Elon will very likely be the best team we face at The Brick House this season...the Phoenix have been very comfortable at The Brick House ever since they almost spoiled the opening day party in 2010...more recently they've won three of the last four on our turf...and then there was last year's loss down there!...we owe them!

both teams will be breaking in new QB's...it'll be interesting to see which one has come the furthest since September...the Spiders could have an advantage on the defensive side of the ball...the Phoenix return only four defensive starters...

If you're going to win a Championship and earn a Playoff bid you probably have to be playing your best football in November...I expect the Spiders to be in the battle...that makes winning this game a must, and a perfect warm up for the grand finale' on The Reservation...

enjoy the Countdown...it's almost over!

Go Spiders!

Richmond 38 Elon 24 - Spiders Defense Solves the Phoenix!

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yesterday the Spiders defense came through just as it has since October...the defense has given us a chance to win each game of the win streak...it has stopped, or controlled, three of the best QBs and offenses in the CAA...Rhode Island, Campbell and Elon yesterday...

our defensive line rotation of Louis, Grant, Stocklinski, Barnett, Fitz, Byrd, Hoilette and Murray have consistently applied pressure to the opponents QB and disrupted their running game...they are one of the prime reasons we lead FCS in forced turnovers...

and what can you say about Wheeler, Galloway, Joseph and Hoilette as the backers...they don't miss too often

yesterday with the exception of one big run by Hampden this group stopped the Phoenix rushing game...while applying enough pressure to control their vertical game for most of the contest...the Phoenix QB didn't have many clean pockets...the two 4th down stops in the 2nd half were keys to stalling an Elon comeback...

the amateur video of the selected defensive plays will give those who missed the game, or telecast, a glimpse of some of the big plays by our defense...

it sure looks like our defense and offense are gelling at the best possible time...I expect the Indians to be another tough out, but am confident our defense will give us a chance to win the Championship!

Go Spiders!
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Richmond 90 Siena 48 - Spiders Crush Saints!

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these amateur video clips demonstrate well why the team has been so much fun to watch so far...each clip features the speed, ball handling and passing of this team...combined with an assist and finish it's nothing but fun...and how about Walz!!

this was a very relaxed and fun game absent of any drama and stress...a perfect way to unwind and relax after the great football win...

I'm really hoping we can carry some of this to Chestnut Hill on Wednesday!

Go Spiders!

Richmond 38 Elon 24 - Spiders Offense Delivers Again!

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selected amateur offensive highlights from yesterday's convincing Richmond win...the last two games we've put up over 80 points!...

over 400 balanced offensive yards yesterday...I confess I was a sceptic about risking Wickersham as a runner, but I'm a believer now...as was said in another thread the defenses are always unsure and usually off balance...Wickersham is a steamroller!

Savon Smith had a heck of a game yesterday...looks like the offensive line and Smith are peaking at the most important time...eleven different receivers caught passes!

the biggest test and the toughest one comes on the Reservation Saturday...the under achieving Indians have little to play for other than to try and kill our chances...it should be a great battle that the rivalry deserves...

Go Spiders!

Mooney Ranking - The Athletic

This may be firewalled, so apologies.


Mooney is ranked in tier 5, by my count the first four tiers have ~86 coaches - so he comes in around 100 - give or take.

I am still of the opinion that we can have success like a St. Mary's or VCU. But I think we need an upgrade. Not going to happen any time soon, but this list is a good referene for our AD - if he had a pulse.
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2023 Richmond Spiders Football - Prologue - Elon

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it's been a long strange trip but here we are in November playing for at least a piece of the CAA Championship!...it doesn't feel like it for many fans, but 5-1 in the CAA at this point is probably right where most fans thought we should be in August...

we just have to keep winning...it won't be easy versus the former Fighting Christians...they're red hot and are the new best CAA team we've faced this season...and Elon loves playing us at The Brick House, and playing Coach Huesman's teams!...outside of the COVID spring games in 2021 the Spiders have not beaten the Phoenix on Huesman's watch...this includes losing the last three in Richmond!

if we're going to win a Championship this skid has to stop...Coach Huesman and several players warned all week long of the huge challenges Elon presents...by now, the Spiders are used to huge challenges...we're playing our best ball of the season coming off the Campbell win...we're healthy and being reinforced with Jasiah Williams and Cam Coleman returning...we should be able to control the ball and score TDs...I don't think the Phoenix has faced a defense like ours...if we execute we should be able to control the red hot Elon offense!

so here it comes Saturday...two teams healthy, confident and playing their best in a CAA Championship elimination game at The Brick House...exactly what I was wishing for in August...I think to Spiders will find a way again this week!

enjoy the Prologue...

Go Spiders!
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Senior Day Recognition Saturday

does anyone know where I can get a list of those players being recognized? I've scanned the UR AD Football website and seen nothing. Coach Huesman mentioned a handful in his media session today but I know there're more...

in the past it's been pretty easy to figure out who's going to be honored from the Roster on the Football page, but with the Covid-19 thing extra year, redshirts, grad students, seniors etc. I'm not sure who's staying and who's run out of eligibility...

our Senior Day Shout Out celebration has gotten so popular that last season I got called out for leaving someone off the list...I'd like to not be guessing!

Thanks in advance for any help...

Go Spiders!
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  • Poll
Game 1 VMI for year two

Will the Spiders win VMI game two?

  • Yes, by more than last year’s 21 points

    Votes: 3 9.4%
  • Yes, but by less than 21 points

    Votes: 26 81.3%
  • No, let the meltdown begin

    Votes: 3 9.4%

Looking forward to being back in the Robins Center and watching hoops. I have no idea what the team will look like since it is nearly a start from Ground Zero. I just hope to see the early development of some team chemistry that leads to an identity.

In game one, hoping to see a big lead that allows some of the frosh to see the floor for spot minutes, but I know that is a pipe dream.

Let’s take the pulse of the Forum with a simple poll. I’m also looking forward to discussion based on actual game play versus what ifs.

One vote and I will let you be anonymous.

Go Spiders!

RPIM - VMI

RPIM is back again this year, this time adjusted and revamped based on all of the input received from last year. Based on the RPIM numbers from the game against VMI, I'd say it's right where it should be. As always, open to feedback:

PlayerRPIM
Jordan King50.05
Neal Quinn23.13
Delonnie Hunt16.61
Aidan Noyes12.05
Jason Roche10.85
Dji Bailey9.49
Isaiah Bigelow7.96
Tyler Harris7.88
Mikkel Tyne5.06
Michael Walz0.76
Liam Weaver0.48
Jack Graham-0.73
Trevor Smith-0.78
Quentin Southall-0.93
Collin Tanner-1.52
Ryan Soulis-5.49

Overall Story
It was the Jordan King show, and it was a pleasure to watch. He owned DT Court and showed what his peak can be when he plays well. We'll see if inconsistency comes into play later on. Some might question Quinn above Hunt, but the numbers make it clear. Quinn's production was on the boards, dishing out 7 assists, and staying a perfect 4/4 from the line. Hunt had the points, but wasn't as consistent shooting the basketball, particularly from outside the arc and with some free throw misses. I expect that gets cleaned up but a great performance from him as well. I think Dji also had a great game, especially on the defensive end and he'll clean up some of those bunny misses. Noyes up so high might surprise people, but with these adjustments, starters should be above 10 if they produce, and he shot 50% from 3. Very impressed with the performance overall, and hope this team fits well together as the season goes along!
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