Yup. To use 4700’s constant timeline just bc he uses it to prove success. I see it differently (note this is not a jab at 4700 just my differing view of what he uses as a successful program period. If you expand the view even more as GK did, it looks even worse.)
Legendary 24-7 year. Very good year, no doubt. Likely in ncaa but still close to the cut line bc of things like getting shelled by Radford in the OOC. If had lost first A10 tourney game things may have been dicey. Will never know but it was a fun season.
Following year, same exact veteran team, 14-9, inexplicable losses, SLU abandoned a game against UR bc of lack of program control, an NIT loss. Anyone who think that season was a success is has vastly low expectations since it was a team full of upperclassmen called the best class ever by the coach.
Following year, team of all upperclassmen many taking 5th years, underachieved to 6th in A10 with little consistency, but Gilyard got piping hot in A10 tourney and Grace and Burton made big plays late against Davidson. Big upset of Iowa in NCAA, total egg game vs Providence. Still, an NCAA and a win. Successful season of the kind I personally want and expect bc I use NCAAs as my metric.
Following year, transfer portal haul looks great, team plays with no cohesion and it’s a losing season despite A 10 being nothing special. A10 POY candidate starts out on fire until teams game plan him, then makes A10 2nd team. Absolutlely disappointing season. Lost to W&M by scoring in the 50s. Again, a losing record with veteran players and 5th year program returnees as starters. Really bad.
Last year, weak OOC results doom any shot at an at large bid. Despite team gelling once the best players started, and a program best result in A10 play, team had to win A10 tournament to sniff NCAAs. Despite having #1 seed, zero wins achieved in A10 tourney, followed by a blowout loss in NIT. Nice season, ultimately unsuccessful by the only real metric that matters (NCAA bid) as UR was nowhere near the at large conversation or the auto bid and ultimately irrelevant to the landscape.
This year. transfer portal haul looks great, team plays with no cohesion. Has the program had a worse 3 game stretch? Has a Moon team ever blown a 21 point lead? Miami NIT was 17 I think. Either way, it’s not good. These are hand picked upperclassmen players plucked from the portal. Zero cohesion and the eye test is really bad.
I just believe that hoping for one above average season in exchange for a losing season the next is not this program’s ceiling.
In this time frame one season of six in at large consideration. only one actual NCAA.
This is not sustained success and regular greatness and a program reaching its potential. It’s mediocrity and disappointing results with tons of resources.